Fairfax Challenge Fall RJCC/RYC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 10, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
2 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
3 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 100% 99% 93% 60% 13% 1%
3 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
5 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
6 PEELER Julia 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 1%
7 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
8 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 38%
9 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
10 LEE Yedda 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 3%
11 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 28%
11 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
13 YOU Emily 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
14 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
15 PARK Judy 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
16 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 95% 67% 25% 4% -
17 LIU Nicole 100% 99% 86% 49% 13% 1%
18 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 11%
19 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
20 HOSANAGAR Inchara 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
21 RICHARDSON Lauren C. 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
22 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 97% 80% 41% 8% -
23 LU Samantha R. 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5% -
24 MING Cynthia 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
25 AMOROSO Elizabeth 100% 95% 65% 20% 1% -
26 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 87% 50% 8% -
27 MACEDON Gianna 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
28 LIU Sydney 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
29 ZHAO Ivy 100% 89% 53% 16% 2% -
30 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
31 PULLEN Ayah 100% 95% 60% 20% 3% -
32 ERDMAN Giselle 100% 80% 37% 7% 1% - -
33 MAGALSKI Mary 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
34 MIHILL Margaret 100% 85% 41% 8% - -
35 NEELAM Neha 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
36 KEE Bea Isabelle 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
37 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 84% 41% 8% 1% - -
38 LOUGHLIN Ariana 100% 80% 37% 7% 1% - -
39 HU Chelsea 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
40 GOSART Hailee 100% 58% 16% 2% - -
41 OZBOZ almira 100% 86% 39% 7% - -
42 PLAZA-GASALLA Gloria 100% 33% 4% - - -
42 SAIYED Khadijah 100% 83% 40% 8% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.