The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

RCFC Thursday Night D & Under Foil #1

Div III Mixed Foil

Thursday, September 23, 2021 at 7:30 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KRYLTSOV Michael - - 2% 20% 48% 30%
2 SHAGIDANYAN German - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
3 LI Brian X. - - 5% 28% 48% 19%
3 BEAVER Hannah 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
5 GUERRA Gabriel H. - - 4% 23% 47% 26%
6 LIPPMAN Sam - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
7 HSIAO Nicholas 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 9%
8 HAN Crystal - - 9% 40% 44% 7%
9 LI Samuel 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1%
10 CASTANEDA Keira 4% 21% 35% 28% 11% 2%
11 KIM Harrison 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
12 ZHANG Selena - 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
13 LEE Jayden 16% 48% 29% 7% 1% -
14 WU Alistair 28% 49% 20% 2% - -
15 HAN Ashley 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 5%
15 TKACHUK Daniel 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
17 NAIR Supriya - 1% 15% 40% 35% 10%
18 BERKE Dan L. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14%
19 BEAVER Kaitlyn - 3% 30% 45% 20% 2%
20 BIROAN Chaz - 3% 17% 38% 34% 8%
21 CAMERON Alex 1% 14% 35% 35% 14% 2%
22 TALASILA Arush 23% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
23 BEAVER Aaron 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
24 GUZ Anatoly 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
25 BROCE Lili M. - 9% 30% 37% 20% 4%
26 ZHUANG Christina - 4% 20% 36% 30% 9%
27 LIU Grace 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
28 POEHLMANN Scott 17% 43% 31% 9% 1% -
29 PALACIOS Francisco - 1% 11% 36% 39% 13%
30 GOFFMAN Geoffrey 13% 38% 35% 12% 2% -
31 LIU Emily 15% 45% 32% 7% - -
32 OLSON Kevin 8% 38% 47% 7% - -
33 FIFE Matthew 21% 42% 29% 8% 1% -
34 KUHL Haley 10% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
35 HUNGERFORD Aleksandra 28% 59% 12% 1% - -
36 BOWYER Amanda 2% 22% 43% 26% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.