Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KRYLTSOV Michael | D V D V V | V V V V V | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 2 | SHAGIDANYAN German | V V D V V | V V V V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 3 | LI Brian X. | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | BEAVER Hannah | V V V V V | V V V D | 2.8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| 5 | GUERRA Gabriel H. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | LIPPMAN Sam | V V V V V | V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 7 | HSIAO Nicholas | V V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 8 | HAN Crystal | V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 9 | LI Samuel | V V V V V | V D | 2.1 | 5 | +2.9 |
| 10 | CASTANEDA Keira | V V V D V | V D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 11 | KIM Harrison | D D V V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 12 | ZHANG Selena | V D V D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 13 | LEE Jayden | V V D D V | V D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 14 | WU Alistair | V D V D D | V D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 15 | HAN Ashley | V V D D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 15 | TKACHUK Daniel | D V D V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 17 | NAIR Supriya | V V V D V | D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 18 | BERKE Dan L. | D V V V D | D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 19 | BEAVER Kaitlyn | V V D D V | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 20 | BIROAN Chaz | D V D V V | D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 21 | CAMERON Alex | D D D V V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 22 | TALASILA Arush | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 23 | BEAVER Aaron | D D D V V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 24 | GUZ Anatoly | D V V D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 25 | BROCE Lili M. | V D V D D | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 26 | ZHUANG Christina | D D D D V | D | 3.2 | 1 | -2.2 |
| 27 | LIU Grace | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 28 | POEHLMANN Scott | D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 29 | PALACIOS Francisco | D D V D D | V D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 30 | GOFFMAN Geoffrey | V D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 31 | LIU Emily | D D V D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 32 | OLSON Kevin | D D D D D | V D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 33 | FIFE Matthew | D D D V D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 34 | KUHL Haley | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 35 | HUNGERFORD Aleksandra | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| 36 | BOWYER Amanda | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.