BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 9:00 AM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRASILNIKOV Rostislav - - 1% 8% 31% 45% 16%
2 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - - 1% 7% 30% 42% 20%
3 BERGER Oliver - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
3 BARRETO Elliott - - - 1% 8% 38% 53%
5 CHOI Silas - 1% 10% 33% 38% 16% 2%
6 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
7 CHEN Howard - - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
8 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 1% 10% 36% 42% 12%
9 XU William - - 8% 37% 40% 14% 1%
10 WU Mengke - - 1% 11% 37% 38% 12%
11 YUN Jaesun - - 3% 19% 44% 34%
12 PATIL Aaryan A. - 6% 31% 42% 18% 2%
13 AURAY Phileas - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
14 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 5% 24% 40% 26% 6%
15 BARBER William S. 1% 10% 30% 40% 20%
16 JIANG Anthony - - 1% 9% 32% 42% 15%
17 BARBUTA Andrew 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% < 1%
17 ROCHA Alejandro - 1% 11% 33% 40% 14%
19 WANG Eric Y. - 1% 8% 33% 44% 15%
20 FALLICK Ozzie - 1% 9% 31% 44% 14%
21 BEAM David E. 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
22 HJERPE Wade H. - 1% 11% 34% 37% 15% 2%
23 HOLZ William A. 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
24 TAO Stone Z. - - 5% 29% 43% 20% 2%
25 KROON Lucas 3% 25% 41% 24% 6% -
26 REYES Xavier M. - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
27 FRIAS Saul F. - - 1% 7% 29% 44% 20%
28 QIU Nathan 3% 23% 41% 27% 6%
29 LIM William J. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
30 LIN Daniel - 4% 23% 43% 24% 5% -
31 XU Andrew 1% 8% 33% 40% 16% 2%
32 LI Yiwei 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
33 HOLZ Daniel 2% 18% 39% 32% 9%
34 CHANG Colin S. - 5% 26% 42% 23% 4%
35 ANFORA Andrew T. 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% -
36 KUMAR Sachit 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
37 BRISTOL Brijen 8% 34% 40% 15% 2% - -
38 NOBLE Daniel - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 11%
39 RAJAN Advait 2% 48% 41% 8% 1% - -
40 CAISSE Simon B. 9% 38% 38% 13% 2% - -
41 CENTENO Zachary 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
42 BAUER Hank E. - 5% 21% 38% 29% 7%
43 LEITH Jack 7% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
44 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
45 YANG Dylan 3% 26% 43% 23% 5% -
46 NIETO Titus P. 47% 43% 9% 1% - -
47 REED Samuel J. 1% 28% 52% 18% 2% - -
48 LO Konnor 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
49 ZHANG Yankun 11% 38% 38% 12% 2% - -
50 KANDLIK Aaron K. 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
50 UYANIK Muhammet 26% 52% 19% 3% - -
52 CHEN Lester 35% 43% 18% 3% -
53 KORINTH Alexander J. 10% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
54 GOMES John F. 70% 26% 4% - - -
55 GUO Ethan 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
56 MATTHEWS William 45% 42% 12% 1% - - -
57 CHANG LAWRENCE 92% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.