BladeRunner ROC+RJC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, November 7, 2021 at 9:00 AM

RIMAC Arena @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KRASILNIKOV Rostislav 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
2 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 20%
3 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 8%
3 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
5 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
6 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
7 CHEN Howard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
8 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 12%
9 XU William 100% 100% 100% 92% 55% 15% 1%
10 WU Mengke 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
11 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
12 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 94% 62% 21% 2%
13 AURAY Phileas 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
14 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
15 BARBER William S. 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
16 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
17 BARBUTA Andrew 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% < 1%
17 ROCHA Alejandro 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
19 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 15%
20 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 14%
21 BEAM David E. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
22 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
23 HOLZ William A. 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
24 TAO Stone Z. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 22% 2%
25 KROON Lucas 100% 97% 72% 31% 6% -
26 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
27 FRIAS Saul F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 20%
28 QIU Nathan 100% 97% 75% 33% 6%
29 LIM William J. 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
30 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 6% -
31 XU Andrew 100% 99% 92% 58% 18% 2%
32 LI Yiwei 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
33 HOLZ Daniel 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
34 CHANG Colin S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 27% 4%
35 ANFORA Andrew T. 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
36 KUMAR Sachit 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
37 BRISTOL Brijen 100% 92% 57% 17% 2% - -
38 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
39 RAJAN Advait 100% 98% 49% 8% 1% - -
40 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 91% 53% 14% 2% - -
41 CENTENO Zachary 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
42 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
43 LEITH Jack 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
44 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
45 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
46 NIETO Titus P. 100% 53% 10% 1% - -
47 REED Samuel J. 100% 99% 72% 20% 2% - -
48 LO Konnor 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
49 ZHANG Yankun 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% - -
50 KANDLIK Aaron K. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
50 UYANIK Muhammet 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
52 CHEN Lester 100% 65% 22% 3% -
53 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% - -
54 GOMES John F. 100% 30% 4% - - -
55 GUO Ethan 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
56 MATTHEWS William 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -
57 CHANG LAWRENCE 100% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.