Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago ROC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | JAWOROWSKI Matthew | D V V V D D V D V | V V V | 6.3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| 2 | NARANJO David E. | V V D V V D V V V | V V D | 6.6 | 7 | +0.4 |
| 3 | MURZYN III CJ | V V V V V V V V V | V D | 6.7 | 9 | +2.3 |
| 3 | LIU Jonathan M. | V D V V V V D D V | V D | 7.3 | 6 | -1.3 |
| 5 | BIRKS Evan D. | D V V D V V V D V | D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 6 | AN David | D D D V V V D D D | D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 7 | SCHIRF Aidan | D D D D D V V V D | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 8 | GUO Thomas | V D D D D D V D V | V D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 9 | BRADFORD Ethan | V D D V D D D D D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | PARK Caleb | D V D D D D D D D | D | 4.2 | 1 | -3.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |