Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago ROC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | YI Stephen K. | V V D V V | V V V V | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 2 | KOBAL Maximilian | V V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | BALL James T. | V D V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | LU Yikai | D V V V V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 5 | POLONSKI Anthony | V V V V | V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 6 | MICKELSON Jacob P. | V D V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | JU Alexander (Alex) Y. | V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 8 | FORTUNE Alexander J. | V D V V | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 9 | SMITH Erick | V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 10 | LOVIN Vlad | V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 11 | LYUTIKOV Yegor | V V D V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 12 | PALMA Matthew Dominic | V D V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 13 | SANTOS Carlos R. | V D V D D | V D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 14 | LIU Jacob B. | V D D D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 15 | UPTON Craig | D V D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 16 | WANG Eric J. | D V D D D | V D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 17 | VAN BUREN Brett J. | V D V V | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 18 | JI Aidan Y. | D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 19 | EUH Jason | D D V V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SCHROM Andrew | D V D D | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 21 | SINHA Verdhaan | D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 22 | ISSA Naoum P. | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 22 | ZHAO Bowen | D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 24 | FISHER Austin D. | D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 25 | WALKER Devin | D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| 26 | LIM Lance Jeremiah | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |