The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, December 18, 2021 at 2:30 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
2 KANG evan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
3 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 34%
3 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
5 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
6 SO Preston 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
7 CHON Collin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
8 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
9 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
10 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
11 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 26%
12 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
13 CRAIG Andrew 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
14 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
15 TANI Tino 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
16 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
17 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 12% 1%
18 ZHOU William 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
19 HU Harry 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
20 YANG Phillip 100% 99% 82% 45% 13% 2%
21 XUE Leo 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
22 PINTO Marcus 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
23 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 98% 85% 39% 7%
24 LI AYDEN 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
25 KIM Samuel 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
26 MEADE Liam Robert 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
27 LIU Aaron 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
28 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1%
29 BOLLU Viren 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
30 KWON Kenneth 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
31 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
32 HERDA Tiger 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% -
33 KROON Landon 100% 84% 42% 8% 1% -
34 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
35 LIANG Preston 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
36 OU Rigel 100% 81% 36% 5% - -
37 DAI Zihou 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
38 HAN Kyle 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% -
39 LIU Cameron 100% 29% 4% - - -
40 HWANG Hagan 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
41 LI Yidong 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
42 BOSITA Brennan 100% 73% 27% 3% - -
43 ZVI-NOVA Asher 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.