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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	LUKER Sophia	-	-	-	3%	16%	40%	41%
2	HUAI Delilah	-	3%	17%	37%	32%	9%
3	HU Michelle	-	2%	10%	26%	34%	22%	5%
3	ZHANG XUANYI	-	-	3%	12%	30%	37%	18%
5	FESTA Carina	-	-	2%	10%	28%	39%	21%
6	YANG Lea	-	1%	9%	30%	41%	19%
7	GARRETT Madrid	-	1%	5%	19%	35%	30%	9%
8	SCHAIBLE Sofia L.	-	7%	26%	38%	23%	5%
9	KURAEVA Vasilisa	-	2%	11%	27%	35%	21%	4%
10	GAUTAM Sahana	-	4%	15%	31%	31%	16%	3%
11	NGUYEN Siena	1%	13%	35%	34%	14%	2%
12	FEIG Sela	-	1%	10%	32%	40%	17%
13	KONDEV Elizabeth	-	6%	26%	39%	23%	5%
14	MCKEE Brynnley	-	1%	6%	25%	43%	25%
15	KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra	-	2%	13%	33%	37%	14%
16	LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA	-	1%	11%	32%	40%	16%
17	CHIARELLI Valentina	-	1%	9%	30%	40%	19%
18	FENG Alicia G.	-	2%	11%	28%	35%	20%	4%
19	STONE Coral	3%	18%	33%	30%	13%	3%	-
20	DANTULURI Shivani	6%	32%	39%	19%	4%	-
21	MERCHANT Aishwarya	1%	7%	22%	34%	26%	10%	1%
22	WANG Callie	1%	9%	26%	35%	22%	7%	1%
23	NICHOLAS Eva	4%	20%	36%	28%	11%	2%	-
24	HSU leah	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
25	ARMSTRONG Katherine	9%	29%	34%	20%	6%	1%	-
26	PADANILAM Lily	15%	38%	33%	12%	2%	-
27	MUNGUIA Mila	1%	9%	26%	34%	22%	7%	1%
28	CHEN Elaine	2%	25%	41%	25%	6%	1%
29	XU Kaylyn	74%	23%	3%	-	-	-
30	HAMMERSTROM Aria	3%	18%	35%	29%	12%	2%	-
30	DANTULURI Shalini	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	1%
32	LUKER Hannah	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
33	KHOST Maeve	2%	18%	38%	30%	10%	1%
34	ZHAI AMY	58%	34%	7%	1%	-	-
35	BORGUETA Madison	19%	41%	30%	9%	1%	-
36	YAO Rainie	2%	11%	28%	33%	20%	5%	-
37	NGUYEN Madeleine	16%	36%	31%	13%	3%	-	-
37	HAN Emma	29%	41%	23%	6%	1%	-	-
39	WANG Jiayi	38%	41%	17%	3%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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