The Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 41%
2 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
3 HU Michelle 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
3 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
5 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
6 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
7 GARRETT Madrid 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
8 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
9 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
10 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
11 NGUYEN Siena 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
12 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
13 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5%
14 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
15 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
16 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
17 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
18 FENG Alicia G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
19 STONE Coral 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
20 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
21 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
22 WANG Callie 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
23 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
24 HSU leah 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
25 ARMSTRONG Katherine 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
26 PADANILAM Lily 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
27 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
28 CHEN Elaine 100% 98% 72% 32% 7% 1%
29 XU Kaylyn 100% 26% 3% - - -
30 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 97% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
30 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
32 LUKER Hannah 100% 89% 54% 17% 3% -
33 KHOST Maeve 100% 98% 80% 41% 11% 1%
34 ZHAI AMY 100% 42% 8% 1% - -
35 BORGUETA Madison 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
36 YAO Rainie 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% -
37 NGUYEN Madeleine 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
37 HAN Emma 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
39 WANG Jiayi 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.