Arnold Mercado Classic

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 3:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOBLE Daniel - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
2 BARBER William S. - - 1% 18% 53% 29%
3 DEANS Donovan - - - 1% 19% 80%
3 BURR Tanner B. - 4% 21% 45% 29% 1%
5 BOROJERDI Ameen - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
6 HWANG Gabi M. - 1% 7% 32% 48% 12%
7 HJERPE Wade H. - - 5% 46% 39% 9%
8 QIU Nathan - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
9 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 2% 19% 45% 28% 5% -
10 LEITH Jack - - 2% 26% 48% 22% 2%
11 RAJAN Advait - 8% 39% 44% 10% -
12 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
13 REBELLO Derek - 7% 33% 43% 17% -
14 WONG James T. - - 7% 33% 40% 17% 2%
15 HICHA Paul R. 1% 11% 34% 38% 15% 2%
16 ANDERSON William 24% 49% 23% 4% - -
17 MONSON Eli 26% 47% 24% 2% - -
18 FREY Sarah E. 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
19 KAUFMAN Josh B. 2% 26% 45% 24% 2% -
20 VASQUEZ Zoe 2% 49% 37% 10% 1% -
21 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 2% 23% 55% 18% 2% - -
22 LYMAN Lily 23% 43% 27% 7% - -
23 MCCOY Audrey "Zoe" 67% 28% 4% - - -
24 JOHNSON Kai 14% 39% 36% 11% - -
25 TRIMBLE Max 9% 62% 27% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.