Arnold Mercado Classic

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, December 5, 2021 at 3:00 PM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
2 BARBER William S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 82% 29%
3 DEANS Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 BURR Tanner B. 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 1%
5 BOROJERDI Ameen 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
6 HWANG Gabi M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 12%
7 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 100% 94% 48% 9%
8 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 15%
9 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. 100% 98% 79% 34% 5% -
10 LEITH Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 71% 24% 2%
11 RAJAN Advait 100% 100% 92% 54% 10% -
12 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
13 REBELLO Derek 100% 100% 93% 59% 17% -
14 WONG James T. 100% 100% 100% 92% 59% 20% 2%
15 HICHA Paul R. 100% 99% 89% 55% 17% 2%
16 ANDERSON William 100% 76% 26% 4% - -
17 MONSON Eli 100% 74% 27% 2% - -
18 FREY Sarah E. 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
19 KAUFMAN Josh B. 100% 98% 72% 26% 3% -
20 VASQUEZ Zoe 100% 98% 48% 12% 1% -
21 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 98% 75% 20% 2% - -
22 LYMAN Lily 100% 77% 34% 7% - -
23 MCCOY Audrey "Zoe" 100% 33% 5% - - -
24 JOHNSON Kai 100% 86% 47% 11% - -
25 TRIMBLE Max 100% 91% 29% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.