U-M Fall Open

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 23, 2021 at 1:00 PM

North Campus Recreation Building - Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ALTSCHUL James 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
2 UTLEY James 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% - -
3 MACDONALD Kaylie 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
3 NWARU Chime 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
5 QORONFLEH Walid 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
6 MURRAY Peter 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
7 HUGHES Nathan 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
8 KIM Adrian 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
9 BROMELL Thomas 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
10 HERMAN Sabrina 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
11 ZHANG Yimeng 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
12 FUSSY Madelaine 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4% -
14 PULLMAN Jacob 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.