AFM Div2 ROC and RJCC

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, November 23, 2018 at 8:00 AM

Sunnyvale, CA - Sunnyvale, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CAI Kevin P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 14%
2 TERRELL Theodore M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
3 DESOUZA Hansel S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
3 DE JONG Thijmen J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
5 WISOFF Jeffrey 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
6 GHILDIYAL Manyu 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
7 TARBUSKOVICH III John 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
8 DORRELL Connor I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
9 SHUR Yakov C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 13%
10 VAN EIKEMA HOMMES Neil B. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
11 HE Jason 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 2%
12 BARRY Dominick 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 7%
13 LOUIE Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
14 STOLZ Robert 100% 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
15 KIM PAUL 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
16 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
17 NGUYEN Steven 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
18 GARRETT Samuel 100% 99% 82% 47% 15% 3% -
19 HUSSAIN Kamran 100% 96% 72% 28% 5% -
20 COMER Alexander J. 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
21 ZHANG Michael 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
22 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
23 SIVAGAR Leo 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
24 AU Marcus J. 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1%
25 RYAN Christopher 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6% -
26 KOH Tommy 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
27 MILOSLAVSKY Jack 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
28 WANG Xu-Chen 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
29 JOSEPH Abey 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
30 ARABACI Jack A. 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
31 RYAN Seth C. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
32 ALFARO Justus 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
33 LIU Kirk D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
34 MILEY Nick N. 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 2% -
35 LEE Trevor 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% - -
36 STENNIS Brendan 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
37 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
38 RAKHIMI Marat T. 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
39 PELAYO Raphael 100% 61% 18% 2% - - -
40 PALLI Maximillian 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
40 LIU Chien-ye 100% 84% 49% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.