Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div I-A Men's Saber

Friday, June 18, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AYMAN Mostafa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 26%
2 KARAM Tariq A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
3 JEAN Noe T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
5 FENG Leo 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
6 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
7 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 4% -
8 ZHENG Edward L. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
9 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
10 LAI Adam J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 9%
11 GHENEA George Philipe 100% 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
12 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
13 MOLINA Nicholas (Nico) G. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
14 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
15 WU Yiyang 100% 89% 47% 13% 2% - -
16 MATT Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
17 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
18 WOODWARD Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
19 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
20 PAN Andrew W. 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
21 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 100% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
22 OVERDECK Andrew 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
23 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
24 THORNTON Ronald J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
25 LI Joshua L. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
26 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% - -
27 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 95% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
28 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 89% 49% 13% 1% - -
29 AN Damon 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
30 LEONARD Cole 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
31 FORT David 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
32 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 56% 14% 1% - - -
33 KLEBS Robert 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
34 BAKER Keith L. 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
35 KORINTH Steve 100% 34% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.