Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Ethan F. - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
2 BERRIO Carter E. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel - 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
3 LIU Mingyang Ryan - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
5 FENKER William M. - - - 5% 23% 43% 29%
6 GILMORE Thomas W. - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
7 AN Damon 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
8 MURZYN III CJ - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
9 MARGULIES William - - 5% 23% 38% 27% 6%
10 WU Yiyang 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
11 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
12 KEEFER Philip E. - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 4%
13 KORINTH Alexander J. 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
14 FERBER Oliver E. 1% 13% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
15 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
16 FORT David 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
17 MCALPINE William 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
18 KORINTH Steve 24% 51% 21% 3% - - -
19 MCCONNELL Grady 32% 43% 20% 4% - - -
20 TREANOR Donald K. 37% 42% 18% 4% - - -
21 ANDERSON Donald 46% 43% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.