Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Div II Men's Saber

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
2 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
3 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
5 FENKER William M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
6 GILMORE Thomas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
7 AN Damon 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
8 MURZYN III CJ 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
9 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
10 WU Yiyang 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
11 CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
12 KEEFER Philip E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
13 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 3% -
14 FERBER Oliver E. 100% 99% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
15 TEVEBAUGH Andrew 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
16 FORT David 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
17 MCALPINE William 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
18 KORINTH Steve 100% 76% 25% 3% - - -
19 MCCONNELL Grady 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
20 TREANOR Donald K. 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
21 ANDERSON Donald 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.