The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
Maria Panyi (1), Andrey Geva (2), Igor Chirashnya (3), and Sue Moheb (4).

Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VO Minh Q. 1% 9% 28% 38% 21% 4%
2 STONE Esmond A. - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
3 COVINGTON Max G. - 1% 8% 31% 43% 17%
3 REYES Xavier M. - - 3% 20% 44% 33%
5 LEITH Jack - 4% 21% 40% 28% 7%
6 LIN Daniel - 4% 21% 41% 28% 6%
7 BAUER Hank E. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8%
8 LIU Christopher X. - 4% 20% 36% 30% 9%
9 BULL Anderson - - 6% 25% 43% 26%
10 SWORDS Evan F. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
11 SCHERER Max 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
12 WONG James T. - 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
13 KOTOV Leonid - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
14 XU Andrew - 5% 18% 35% 31% 11%
15 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 1% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
16 REED Robert 51% 37% 11% 1% - -
17 YEARLING Ethan 7% 36% 38% 16% 3% -
18 CAISSE Simon B. 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 1%
19 LIM William J. 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4%
20 KRASTEV Mihail 5% 21% 34% 28% 11% 2%
21 LO Konnor - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
22 KUMAR Sachit 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1%
23 PLONKA Derek 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2%
24 PATIL Aaryan A. 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
25 RICHARDSON Troy A. - 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
26 CHOW William T. 3% 23% 42% 25% 6% -
27 STONE Brad 34% 48% 15% 2% - -
28 REED Samuel J. 1% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
29 KORINTH Alexander J. 11% 42% 35% 10% 1% -
30 YUNG Andrew 51% 38% 9% 1% - -
31 ZHANG Yankun 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
32 RAJAN Advait 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1%
33 CHAN Aidan 1% 7% 27% 39% 22% 4%
34 MENDOZA Noah 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
35 THORNLEY Jalen C. 28% 46% 21% 4% - -
36 JOHNSON Kai 54% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.