Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div II Men's Saber

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 12:00 PM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VO Minh Q. 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
2 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
3 COVINGTON Max G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
3 REYES Xavier M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33%
5 LEITH Jack 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7%
6 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
7 BAUER Hank E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
8 LIU Christopher X. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
9 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
10 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
11 SCHERER Max 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
12 WONG James T. 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
13 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
14 XU Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
15 SOUTHWORTH Nathaniel 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
16 REED Robert 100% 49% 12% 2% - -
17 YEARLING Ethan 100% 93% 57% 19% 3% -
18 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
19 LIM William J. 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
20 KRASTEV Mihail 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
21 LO Konnor 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
22 KUMAR Sachit 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
23 PLONKA Derek 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
24 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8%
25 RICHARDSON Troy A. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 4%
26 CHOW William T. 100% 97% 74% 31% 6% -
27 STONE Brad 100% 66% 17% 2% - -
28 REED Samuel J. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
29 KORINTH Alexander J. 100% 89% 47% 11% 1% -
30 YUNG Andrew 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
31 ZHANG Yankun 100% 96% 67% 28% 6% -
32 RAJAN Advait 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1%
33 CHAN Aidan 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
34 MENDOZA Noah 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
35 THORNLEY Jalen C. 100% 72% 26% 4% - -
36 JOHNSON Kai 100% 46% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.