Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Women's Épée

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. V V D V V V V V V V 4.9 4 -0.9
2 LAVERY Chloe K. V D V V D V V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
3 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. V V V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
3 KIM Zoe L. V V V V V V V D 3.0 4 +1.0
5 WU Amelia D V V V V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
6 YAO Yilin V V V V D V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
7 CHEN Lefu V V V D V V V D 4.0 4 -
8 BEI Karen D V D V V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
9 MYERS Jeanelle Christina A. V V V V V V D 2.5 5 +2.5
10 LEUNG Natalie D V V V V V D 4.3 4 -0.3
11 LEE Olivia V D V V V D 0.8 3 +2.2
12 WANG Nora D V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
13 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. V D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
14 LEE Kaitlyn M. V D D V V D 1.8 2 +0.2
15 FELAND Alexandra V D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
16 KALE Anika A. D V D D V V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
17 GAO Judy V V D V V D 3.3 4 +0.7
18 LEE Natasha V V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
19 LIN Ashley V D V V D D 1.0 3 +2.0
20 LAN Alice S. D V V V D D 3.5 3 -0.5
21 YOUNG Ashley D V V V D D 2.7 3 +0.3
22 NGUYEN Tallulah D V V D D 2.5 2 -0.5
23 CHIMIENTI Michele V V D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
24 ZHANG mickey V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
25 HABERMAN Hailey V D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
26 CAREY Michele S. D V D D V V D 2.6 2 -0.6
27 SMIK Leonie A. D D D V V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
28 SIMHADRI Meghana V D V D D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
29 ZHEREBCHEVSKA Veronika D D V D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
30 LI Charlotte D D D V V D 1.1 1 -0.1
31 BUSH emma D D D V D V D 1.8 1 -0.8
32 ASSADOURIAN Nouneh D D V D D V D 2.8 1 -1.8
33 PRIMES Amanda M. V D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
34 GAUR Ishi D V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
35 WANG Angelina V D D D D D 1.2 1 -0.2
36 CHIRASHNYA Noya D D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
37 POON Desiree D V D D D D 0.9 1 +0.1
38 FERNANDEZ Lucero D D V D D D 0.5 1 +0.5
39 LEE Megan D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
40 SRIVASTAVA Arya D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.