May NAC

Cadet Women's Foil

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
2 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 15%
5 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
6 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
7 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
8 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
9 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
12 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
13 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
14 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
15 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
16 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
17 KOO Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
18 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 29%
19 YU Lauren C. 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 6% -
20 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
21 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
22 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
23 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
24 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
25 HALL Velma 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
26 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
27 CHO Gracie L. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 5%
28 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 12%
29 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53%
30 LI Meilin 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
31 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
32 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
33 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 3%
34 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
35 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
36 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
37 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 15%
38 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
39 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
40 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
41 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
42 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
42 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1%
44 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
45 YHIP Mikaela M. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
46 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 98% 81% 42% 10% 1%
47 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
48 LI Phoebe J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
49 LEE Bethany W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
50 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 98% 77% 39% 11% 1%
51 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
52 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
53 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
54 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
55 KOSLOW Amicie 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
56 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
57 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 8% 1%
58 KONG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
59 XU Christine 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
60 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 93% 68% 28% 5%
61 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 78% 39% 11% 1% -
62 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
63 PERLMAN Talia 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
64 COOPER Piper W. 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
65 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
66 LEE Lavender 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
67 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
68 HECKMANN Emma 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
69 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
70 WU Julianna Y. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
71 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
72 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 95% 74% 40% 12% 2%
73 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
74 MI Anning 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
75 SUN Ruoxi 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
76 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 97% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
77 WILLIS Fletcher L. 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% - -
78 ADAMS KIM Natalie 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
79 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 5% -
80 KOROL Dana 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
81 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
82 YU Seneca 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
83 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 98% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
84 WONG Sophia M. 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
85 SULEIMAN Alena J. 100% 98% 78% 39% 11% 2% -
86 CHOW Annabelle 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% -
87 FERNANDES Thea 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
88 SIMONOV Dasha 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
89 YIN Helen 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
90 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
91 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
92 LIPKOVITZ Rivka 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
93 GU EMILY 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
94 DUAN Konnie 100% 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
95 WEINTRAUB Io H. 100% 99% 90% 56% 19% 3% -
96 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% -
96 HUANG NATALIE 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
96 LI Sophia M. 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
99 YE Eileen 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
100 ZULUETA Catherine 100% 79% 30% 5% - - -
101 TAYLOR-CASAMAYOR Marisol 100% 44% 7% - - - -
102 PANT Anisha 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
103 MAESTRADO Ashley R. 100% 76% 26% 4% - - -
104 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
105 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 95% 59% 21% 4% - -
106 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 71% 13% 1% - - -
107 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 85% 38% 8% 1% - -
108 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
109 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 99% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
110 HWANG Alison 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
111 WU Irene M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
112 ROY Layla 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
113 MI Aileen 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
114 KENNEDY Elizabeth 100% 80% 42% 13% 2% - -
115 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 45% 5% - - - -
116 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
117 STONE Madelyn L. 100% 18% 1% - - - -
118 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 62% 19% 3% - - -
119 GOLBIN Ariella J. 100% 21% 2% - - - -
120 BRANDON Fionnoula 100% 52% 10% 1% - - -
120 TSANG Catherine 100% 27% 3% - - - -
120 CABALU Alaina 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
123 LEVY Avery 100% 33% 5% - - - -
123 CHOI Kailyn 100% 26% 3% - - - -
123 BEAVER Hannah 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.