May NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THOMPSON Khalil A. - - - - 1% 16% 82%
2 DODDO Andrew - - - 1% 7% 32% 60%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
5 SHAINBERG Jonah L. - - - - 4% 29% 67%
6 COHEN Josef A. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
7 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
8 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
9 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
10 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
11 BIERNACKI Maciej L. - 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
11 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 1%
13 SOLOMON Daniel P. - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
14 PARK Donghwan - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 14%
15 NI AMEN Zahir K. 7% 27% 37% 23% 6% 1%
16 HUSSAIN Faaris - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
17 LILOV Neil - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
18 HARLEY Colby A. - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
19 BOOTH Zaheer - - 2% 11% 29% 38% 20%
20 TRAVERS Samir T. 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
21 SMITH Jared C. - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
22 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
23 LIN John A. - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
24 CHOI HYUNSEOK - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
25 ATTIG Will T. - 5% 23% 39% 27% 5%
26 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 7% 29% 38% 21% 4%
27 MOON Sean H. - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
28 KUSHKOV Simon O. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 13%
29 WOOD Elden S. 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
30 WIND Nicky E. 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
31 D'ORAZIO Joseph 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
32 MAHONEY Colin M. 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
33 MIKA Casper - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
34 JEFFORDS Alexander 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 1%
35 BARNETT Adam 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 6%
36 BOLTON Dawson E. 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
37 KIM Avery J. - 5% 25% 39% 25% 5%
38 LIANG Connor - 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
39 ZHOU Matthew R. - 1% 9% 27% 39% 22% 2%
40 LE Hayden 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
41 HAMMERSTROM Jared 1% 8% 24% 34% 25% 8% -
42 NOBLE Daniel 3% 16% 31% 31% 16% 3% -
43 FLORES Peter D. 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
44 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - 4% 19% 40% 32% 6%
45 RAJA Arnav 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
46 YEN Darren - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
47 TE VELDE Noah C. - 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
48 BENAVRAM Lev C. 1% 7% 26% 39% 24% 4%
49 CHAMBERS Amir E. 4% 20% 36% 29% 10% 1%
50 BOLTON Braydon A. 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
51 PRIEST Leighton K. - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13% 1%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
53 BERGER Oliver 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 GEFELL Andrew P. 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
55 SIERADZKY Dawson - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
56 BRAR Sanjeet 20% 44% 28% 7% 1% -
57 RAI Avin 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
58 PRICE Jack S. 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
58 JI Cody Walter 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
60 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
61 YANG Ziyi 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
62 DODRILL Grant 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
63 YUN Jake 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
64 HONG Marshall Q. - 1% 9% 26% 38% 23% 3%
65 STONE Ben - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
66 POPE Nico 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
66 BURR Tanner B. 31% 44% 20% 4% - -
68 LIMB Matthew G. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
69 DHINGRA Gian K. - 5% 19% 34% 30% 12% 1%
70 LINSKY Matthew 1% 8% 23% 34% 24% 8% 1%
71 SHI Andrew 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
71 HOUTZ Jackson 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
73 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
74 GANTA Vijay 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
75 LIU kelly 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
76 SIMAK Joseph P. 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
77 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 2% 16% 37% 33% 11% 1%
77 DILLREE Spencer S. 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
79 MEHTA Sachin N. - 1% 12% 33% 38% 15%
80 XU William 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
81 PORTMANN Stein J. 11% 34% 34% 16% 4% 1% -
82 KAYDALIN Artyom 5% 22% 36% 26% 10% 2% -
83 JINICH Ilan R. 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
84 ERMAKOV Lev 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
85 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 1% 5% 21% 36% 28% 8% -
86 TONG ZACHARY 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
87 BARTOLO Domenic V. 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
88 BARBER William S. 10% 43% 34% 11% 2% -
89 CHIN Matthew W. 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
90 MORREALE John 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
91 ROBERTS Sam 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
92 REN Richard 59% 34% 6% - - -
93 FENG Leo 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
94 ESCUETA Tony V. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
95 CHEONG Heonjae 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
96 JOHNSON Langston C. 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
97 LIM Ryan Y. - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
98 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
99 CHAN Matthew 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% -
100 SOHN Kevin J. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
101 WOODWARD Connor 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
102 XU Luke 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
103 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 27% 42% 24% 7% 1% - -
104 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 17% 41% 31% 9% 1% -
105 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 26% 42% 24% 7% 1% -
106 LUO ZIRUI 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
107 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
108 PAN Andrew W. 36% 41% 18% 4% - - -
109 DU Gavin J. 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
110 ZHOU Kevin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.