May NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
3 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
5 SHAINBERG Jonah L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
6 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
7 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
8 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 4%
9 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 8%
10 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
11 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
11 CHAYEVSKY Kirk 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
13 SOLOMON Daniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
14 PARK Donghwan 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
15 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
16 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 6%
17 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
18 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
19 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
20 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
21 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
22 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
23 LIN John A. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
24 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 29% 6%
25 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
26 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4%
27 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
28 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
29 WOOD Elden S. 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
30 WIND Nicky E. 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
31 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
32 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
33 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
34 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 1%
35 BARNETT Adam 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
36 BOLTON Dawson E. 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
37 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
38 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
39 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 2%
40 LE Hayden 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
41 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 8% -
42 NOBLE Daniel 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
43 FLORES Peter D. 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
44 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
45 RAJA Arnav 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
46 YEN Darren 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
47 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
48 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
49 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
50 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
51 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 14% 1%
52 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% 1%
53 BERGER Oliver 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
54 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
55 SIERADZKY Dawson 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
56 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% -
57 RAI Avin 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
58 PRICE Jack S. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
58 JI Cody Walter 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
60 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
61 YANG Ziyi 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
62 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 88% 60% 27% 6% 1%
63 YUN Jake 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
64 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
65 STONE Ben 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
66 POPE Nico 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
66 BURR Tanner B. 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
68 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
69 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
70 LINSKY Matthew 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 10% 1%
71 SHI Andrew 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
71 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 3% -
73 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
74 GANTA Vijay 100% 92% 62% 26% 5% -
75 LIU kelly 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
76 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% -
77 KAUFMAN Bradley A. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
77 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
79 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
80 XU William 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
81 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 89% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
82 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
83 JINICH Ilan R. 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
84 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
85 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% -
86 TONG ZACHARY 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
87 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
88 BARBER William S. 100% 90% 47% 13% 2% -
89 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
90 MORREALE John 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
91 ROBERTS Sam 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
92 REN Richard 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
93 FENG Leo 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
94 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2%
95 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 69% 25% 5% - -
96 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
97 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
98 HAZLE-CARY Jacob P. 100% 91% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
99 CHAN Matthew 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
100 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 13% 2%
101 WOODWARD Connor 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
102 XU Luke 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
103 ERACHSHAW Cyrus P. 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
104 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 83% 41% 11% 1% -
105 CORNEJO Jeffrey A. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
106 LUO ZIRUI 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
107 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
108 PAN Andrew W. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
109 DU Gavin J. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
110 ZHOU Kevin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.