May NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Saturday, May 8, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HURLEY Courtney L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 45% 10%
3 HURLEY Kelley A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
5 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
6 PATURU Meghana 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
7 KHAMIS Yasmine A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
8 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
9 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
10 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 40%
11 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
12 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
13 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
14 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 3%
15 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6% -
16 RUEDA Rylie 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
17 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 6%
18 VAN BRUMMEN Anna C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
19 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 96% 79% 46% 13%
20 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 7%
21 GU Sarah 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 17% 2%
22 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
23 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
24 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
25 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 14% 2%
26 BATES Cassandra L. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
27 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
28 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
29 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
30 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
31 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% -
32 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
33 JAKEL Sophia N. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
34 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
35 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 26%
36 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
37 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
38 MAO Amy 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
39 ISERT Sarah 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
40 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 20% 2%
41 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% -
42 NI Emma 100% 99% 92% 68% 35% 10% 1%
43 CHU Audrey 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
44 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
45 WU Amelia 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
46 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
47 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
48 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
49 WEISS Talia L. 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 6% -
50 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 8%
51 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 86% 53% 20% 4% - -
52 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
53 LUO Ashley 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
54 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
55 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 16% 1%
56 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% 1%
57 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
58 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
59 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1%
60 MCLANE Lauren 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
61 LEUNG Natalie 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
62 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 5%
63 CHOI Eunice 100% 93% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
63 MING Cynthia 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
65 LIU Christina A. 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
66 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
67 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
68 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
69 KIM Erika S. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
70 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
71 LIN Katie Y. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
72 JAMES Josephine 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
73 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
74 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
75 GAO Judy 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
76 SAAL Anna 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
77 LEE Michelle J. 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
78 SMUK Daria A. 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
78 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
80 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
81 LAWSON Marie A. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% 1%
81 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
83 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 96% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
83 HENRY Asha S. 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
85 REID Anousheh 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
86 TONCHEVA Victoria M. 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
87 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
88 FELAND Alexandra 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
89 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% - -
90 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
91 GLASSNER Sophia Rose S. 100% 50% 12% 2% - - -
92 KIM Zoe L. 100% 91% 57% 18% 2% -
93 RASMUSSEN Ashelee 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
94 ASHER Valerie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
95 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
96 WANG Nora 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
96 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
98 AHUJA Arianna 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
99 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 3% -
100 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
100 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
102 BOWIE Charlotta 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
103 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
104 DARANOUVONG Logan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
105 CAREY Michele S. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
106 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5% -
106 WEBER Nora 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
108 DESAI Meera P. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
109 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 63% 22% 4% - -
110 MILLER Veronica 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
111 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
112 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -
113 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
114 SMITH Grace L. 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
115 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
116 HESS Heidi J. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.