May NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. - - - 1% 10% 39% 50%
2 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. - - - 4% 29% 66%
3 MOON Sean H. - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
3 WIND Nicky E. 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
5 KUSHKOV Simon O. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
5 BOLTON Braydon A. - 1% 7% 24% 35% 25% 7%
7 LIMB Matthew G. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
8 ZHOU Matthew R. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
9 HARVEY Nicholas J. - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
10 CHOI HYUNSEOK - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
11 YEN Darren - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
12 WILLIAMS Nolan E. - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
13 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
14 CALLAHAN Jaden P. - 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
15 LE Hayden 2% 19% 40% 29% 9% 1%
16 BERMAN Luca 4% 29% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
17 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
18 WOOD Elden S. - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
19 TRAVERS Samir T. - - 2% 13% 35% 39% 11%
20 SKINNER Graham B. 2% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
21 MORRILL William 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 4%
22 TANN Justin 3% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
23 HONG Marshall Q. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
24 BARNETT Adam - 3% 16% 37% 33% 10%
25 KOTOV Leonid 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
26 LINSKY Matthew - - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
27 LUKASHENKO Darii - 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 6%
28 SHI Andrew - 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
29 D'ORAZIO Joseph - 2% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2%
30 MIKA Casper - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
31 ATTIG Will T. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 19%
32 RAJA Arnav 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
33 TE VELDE Noah C. - - 2% 12% 30% 38% 18%
34 SCHMITT Trenton R. - - - 4% 21% 43% 30%
35 PRIEST Leighton K. - 1% 5% 21% 37% 29% 7%
36 LEVIN Mark A. 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
37 PORTMANN Stein J. - 6% 29% 42% 20% 2%
38 BERGER Oliver 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
39 DODRILL Grant - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
40 MEHTA Sachin N. - - 1% 11% 31% 39% 18%
41 MCBRIDE Jackson R. - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
42 HUSSAIN Faaris - 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
43 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3%
44 SAKHAMURI Surya - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
45 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
46 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
47 CZAHA Balint - 7% 31% 41% 18% 2%
48 ZHOU Kevin 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
49 POPE Nico - 3% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
50 KIM Avery J. - - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
51 FENG Leo 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3% -
52 NI AMEN Zahir K. 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
53 LI Joshua L. 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
54 ZUBATIY Samuel 1% 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
55 BASALYGA Jeffrey - 2% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
56 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
57 LIN John A. - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
58 KAYDALIN Artyom - 3% 21% 42% 29% 4%
59 RIVERA Inigo Franco - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17%
60 SOHN Kevin J. - 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 4%
61 ALTIRS Alexander 4% 29% 38% 21% 6% 1% -
62 HONG Steven 7% 29% 37% 20% 6% 1% -
63 LIU kelly - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
64 REYES Xavier M. 2% 19% 38% 30% 10% 1%
65 HOLZ William A. 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
66 KIM Andrew H. - 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
67 FIELDS Matthew S. 10% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
68 DILLREE Spencer S. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
69 GEFELL Andrew P. - 6% 22% 38% 28% 6%
70 LIM Ryan Y. - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
71 HAMMERSTROM Jared - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
72 BENAVRAM Lev C. - - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
73 NG Jeremiah 4% 23% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
74 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
74 DHINGRA Gian K. - - 3% 17% 37% 32% 9%
76 CHAN Matthew 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 3% -
77 REN Richard 9% 40% 37% 12% 2% - -
78 NOBLE Daniel - 4% 18% 34% 30% 11% 1%
79 NAZLYMOV Andrei 19% 39% 30% 11% 2% -
80 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
81 CHANG Eliot A. 5% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
82 JOHNSON Langston C. 7% 27% 36% 23% 7% 1%
83 REED Samuel J. 49% 39% 11% 1% - -
84 CHEONG Heonjae 2% 21% 42% 27% 8% 1% -
85 HOUTZ Jackson 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
86 CHAMBERS Amir E. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
87 SO Hananiah - 3% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
87 LUO ZIRUI 3% 16% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
89 MCCARTHY Gabriel 12% 41% 34% 11% 2% - -
90 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
91 SWORDS Evan F. 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% - -
92 MAHONEY Colin M. 4% 19% 35% 30% 11% 1%
93 SHASHA zane 7% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
94 BERRIO Carter E. 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
95 ZENG Noah 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% -
96 MORRILL Justin 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2%
97 PAN Andrew W. 7% 32% 38% 19% 4% -
97 RABINKOV Anthony 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% 1%
99 LIU Mingyang Ryan 20% 51% 25% 4% - -
100 GHAYALOD ansh 7% 38% 38% 15% 3% - -
101 CHANG Colin S. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
102 GRASS James D. 3% 24% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
103 ESCUETA Tony V. - 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2%
104 DESHETLER Scott 59% 34% 6% - - - -
105 BEITEL Noah 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
106 OH Triton 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
107 FORT David 65% 30% 5% - - - -
108 LEITH Jack 48% 40% 11% 1% - - -
109 POSY Daniel 69% 27% 4% - - - -
110 WU Richard 70% 26% 4% - - - -
111 GOLD Jackson 64% 31% 5% - - -
112 WANG Nicolas 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% -
113 FLORES Peter D. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
113 BALDWIN Michael B. 52% 39% 8% 1% - -
113 CHENG Albert 53% 37% 9% 1% - -
116 EDELMAN Seth A. 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
117 BURDAN Gabriel 61% 33% 6% - - - -
118 JANG Junhyuk 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.