May NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
2 ANGLADE Junior Ronald (RJ) E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
3 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
3 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
5 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
5 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
7 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
8 ZHOU Matthew R. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
9 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
10 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 16%
11 YEN Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
12 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
13 JARAMILLO Tobias L. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
14 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
15 LE Hayden 100% 98% 79% 39% 10% 1%
16 BERMAN Luca 100% 96% 67% 27% 6% 1% -
17 LORTKIPANIDZE Nickoloz 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
18 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
19 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 11%
20 SKINNER Graham B. 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 1%
21 MORRILL William 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
22 TANN Justin 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
23 HONG Marshall Q. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
24 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 10%
25 KOTOV Leonid 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
26 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 33% 7%
27 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
28 SHI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
29 D'ORAZIO Joseph 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2%
30 MIKA Casper 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
31 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19%
32 RAJA Arnav 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
33 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
34 SCHMITT Trenton R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
35 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
36 LEVIN Mark A. 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
37 PORTMANN Stein J. 100% 100% 94% 65% 23% 2%
38 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
39 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
40 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
41 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
42 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
43 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
44 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 5%
45 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
46 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
47 CZAHA Balint 100% 100% 92% 61% 20% 2%
48 ZHOU Kevin 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
49 POPE Nico 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
50 KIM Avery J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
51 FENG Leo 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3% -
52 NI AMEN Zahir K. 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
53 LI Joshua L. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
54 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 99% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
55 BASALYGA Jeffrey 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
56 ERACHSHAW Taras P. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
57 LIN John A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
58 KAYDALIN Artyom 100% 100% 97% 76% 33% 4%
59 RIVERA Inigo Franco 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
60 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
61 ALTIRS Alexander 100% 96% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
62 HONG Steven 100% 93% 64% 27% 7% 1% -
63 LIU kelly 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 2%
64 REYES Xavier M. 100% 98% 79% 41% 11% 1%
65 HOLZ William A. 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
66 KIM Andrew H. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
67 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
68 DILLREE Spencer S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
69 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 6%
70 LIM Ryan Y. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
71 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
72 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 12%
73 NG Jeremiah 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
74 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
74 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
76 CHAN Matthew 100% 99% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
77 REN Richard 100% 91% 51% 14% 2% - -
78 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
79 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
80 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
81 CHANG Eliot A. 100% 95% 63% 23% 4% -
82 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
83 REED Samuel J. 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
84 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 98% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
85 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
86 CHAMBERS Amir E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
87 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 17% 2%
87 LUO ZIRUI 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
89 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 88% 47% 13% 2% - -
90 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
91 SWORDS Evan F. 100% 91% 50% 13% 2% - -
92 MAHONEY Colin M. 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
93 SHASHA zane 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
94 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
95 ZENG Noah 100% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
96 MORRILL Justin 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
97 PAN Andrew W. 100% 93% 61% 23% 4% -
97 RABINKOV Anthony 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
99 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 80% 30% 5% - -
100 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 93% 55% 18% 3% - -
101 CHANG Colin S. 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
102 GRASS James D. 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
103 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
104 DESHETLER Scott 100% 41% 7% - - - -
105 BEITEL Noah 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
106 OH Triton 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
107 FORT David 100% 35% 5% - - - -
108 LEITH Jack 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
109 POSY Daniel 100% 31% 4% - - - -
110 WU Richard 100% 30% 4% - - - -
111 GOLD Jackson 100% 36% 5% - - -
112 WANG Nicolas 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
113 FLORES Peter D. 100% 96% 75% 39% 10% 1%
113 BALDWIN Michael B. 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
113 CHENG Albert 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
116 EDELMAN Seth A. 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
117 BURDAN Gabriel 100% 39% 6% - - - -
118 JANG Junhyuk 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.