May NAC

Junior Women's Épée

Sunday, May 9, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
2 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
3 FALLON Kyle R. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 40% 8%
3 WANG Karen 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
5 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
6 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
7 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
8 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
9 OXENREIDER Tierna A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
10 JOYCE Michaela 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
11 MANGANO Ariana J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
12 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
13 KETKAR Mallika 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
14 BALAKRISHNAN Monica S. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
15 FILIPPOV Nika D. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
16 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 21% 3%
17 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
18 GANDHI Sedna S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
19 JAMES Josephine 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% < 1%
20 DOUGLAS Julia F. 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 8% 1%
21 DROVETSKY Alexandra M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
22 LIU Christina A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 8%
23 NELSON-LOVE Lily B. 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
24 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
25 HENRY Asha S. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
26 GU Sarah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 12%
27 KUZNETSOV Victoria 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1%
28 ZAFFT Tatiana M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
29 BOYS Nishta B. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
30 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
31 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 14%
32 CHOI Eunice 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
33 CHIN Isabella 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
34 MACHULSKY Leehi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
35 LEE Yedda 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
36 WEISS Talia L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
37 CHAN Elizabeth 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
38 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
39 DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
40 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
41 YEU Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
42 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
43 LEANG Andrea K. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
44 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
45 FELAND Alexandra 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
46 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 3%
47 MALDONADO Pilar I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 3%
47 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
49 BEITTEL Chloe F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
50 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 89% 54% 17% 2% -
51 WU Amelia 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
52 BAJAJ Nikita K. 100% 97% 70% 29% 6% -
53 NI Emma 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
54 GAJJALA Sharika R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
55 KIM Elizabeth Y. 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
56 GEBALA Natalie Brooke A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
56 PAPADAKIS Lily 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
58 MEHROTRA Anya 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
59 TYLER Syd 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
60 SAAL Anna 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
61 LEANG Priscilla Y. 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
62 SZEWC Alexandra 100% 97% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
63 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
64 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4%
65 GUMAGAY Erika L. 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
66 LIN Katie Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
67 KIM Zoe L. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
68 SMUK Daria A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
69 MCCLAIN-YU Eri M. 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
70 LUO Ashley 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
71 ZHANG Tina Tianyi 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% -
72 WANG Nora 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
73 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 2%
74 REID Anousheh 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
75 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
76 GAO Judy 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
77 AHUJA Arianna 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 1%
78 LEUNG Natalie 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
79 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
80 DESAI Meera P. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
81 LI Alisha 100% 63% 17% 2% - - -
82 WITTE Vera 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
83 MCCUTCHEN Lauren (Lulu) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
84 MUN Brianna K. 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
85 BYBEE Lucy J. 100% 69% 27% 5% 1% - -
86 SMITH Grace L. 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
87 LU Samantha R. 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% -
88 CHAN Cheri K. 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
88 YAO KATHARINE 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
90 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
90 LONADIER Keira 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
92 JANOWSKI Madeline (Madeline Janowski) A. 100% 99% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
93 DUARTE-GARCIA Zoya A. 100% 69% 23% 4% - - -
94 ZENG Katrina 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
95 PAN Michelle 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
96 PALANSKI Cate 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
97 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
98 MILLER Veronica 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
99 SHERTZ Kira E. 100% 77% 38% 11% 2% - -
99 WEBER Nora 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
101 BONDAR Nika 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
102 HIRSCH Naomi B. 100% 73% 27% 5% 1% - -
103 KIM Erika S. 100% 97% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
104 HESS Heidi J. 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -
105 LIU Nicole 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
106 MACEDON Gianna 100% 32% 4% - - -
107 MOON Seojung 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
108 MAO Amy 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
109 PEELER Julia 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
110 HU Chelsea 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
111 ZAKHAROV Anne (Anya) E. 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
112 MING Cynthia 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
113 EBRAHIM Ameera H. 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
114 BOLES Savvianna 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.