Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | POWERS Meredith R. | V V V V V V | V V V V | 4.1 | 6 | +1.9 |
| 2 | CARTER Austin L. | D V V V V D | V V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 3 | MURPHY Ryan M. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 6 | +1.8 |
| 3 | SHEARMAN Mathew | V V V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 5 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | V V V V V V | V D | 2.6 | 6 | +3.4 |
| 6 | MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. | V V V D V V | V D | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 7 | SHENG Chuxi | V V V V V D | V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 8 | TSIMMERMAN Michael | D V V D V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 9 | FADL Omar | V D V V D V | D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 10 | PONCET Sarah | D D V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 11 | DEGER Grant W. | D V V D V D | D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 12 | GAO Anne | V D D D D V | V D | 3.3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| 13 | GRIGORYEV Roman A. | V D D V D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 14 | NORTH Zoe M. | V D D V D D | V D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 15 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | D V D D V D | V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 16 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | D D D D V D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 17 | ROGERS Windell | V D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 18 | MORRIS Luke | D D D D D V | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 19 | CANDELARIA Armando | D D V D D D | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 20 | DESILVER Rachel | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 21 | MAHON-SANTOS Diego | D D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.