Santa' Revenge The COVID Year Payback

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 8:45 AM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POWERS Meredith R. - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
2 CARTER Austin L. - - 4% 22% 41% 27% 5%
3 MURPHY Ryan M. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
3 SHEARMAN Mathew - 1% 6% 22% 39% 27% 5%
5 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 1% 11% 32% 35% 16% 3% < 1%
6 MULLIGAN Timothy (Tim) D. - - 1% 6% 29% 46% 18%
7 SHENG Chuxi - 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
8 TSIMMERMAN Michael 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
9 FADL Omar - - 1% 6% 27% 47% 19%
10 PONCET Sarah - 10% 32% 37% 17% 3% -
11 DEGER Grant W. 9% 30% 37% 20% 5% - -
12 GAO Anne - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
13 GRIGORYEV Roman A. - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
14 NORTH Zoe M. 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
15 EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% 1%
16 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 3% 18% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
17 ROGERS Windell 4% 22% 40% 26% 6% - -
18 MORRIS Luke 5% 26% 42% 22% 4% - -
19 CANDELARIA Armando 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
20 DESILVER Rachel 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
21 MAHON-SANTOS Diego 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.