Santa' Revenge The COVID Year Payback

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, December 19, 2021 at 12:45 PM

Nova Fencing Club - Falls Church, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
2 ECKERT Kevin M. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
3 EVANS Allen L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 18%
3 PENNER Kyle D. 100% 100% 86% 39% 5%
5 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 18%
6 CHENH Justin 100% 92% 50% 13% 1%
7 MARKOWITZ William M. 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
8 SOLDATOV Faddey 100% 100% 97% 76% 24%
9 ANDERSON Derek M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
10 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
11 HVIDING Ketil 100% 93% 63% 25% 5% -
12 ZHANG Andy 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
13 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 98% 80% 35%
14 DOWLING Narain 100% 39% 6% - -
15 FINKLEMAN Raymond 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% -
16 SIMS Martin L. 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -
17 TRITHART Jacob M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
18 GANTSOUDES Isaac 100% 95% 46% 9% 1%
19 GILLESPIE Jeremy W. 100% 98% 82% 42% 8%
20 BLAIR Chloe 100% 43% 7% - -
21 FELSENHELD Donna B. 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
21 FORREST John 100% 85% 47% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.