Tiger Open 2021

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Clemson, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LENAHAN Conor J. - - 1% 9% 31% 41% 18%
2 BARTLETT Jonathan (Jon) L. - 1% 11% 37% 40% 11%
3 TILAKA Michael - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
3 ALLEY Everett T - 5% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1%
5 BIRT David (Dave) L. - - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17%
6 KENT Dwain - - 1% 8% 31% 42% 17%
7 SCHARF Ryan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
8 GOMEZ Victor J. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
9 MERRITT Frederick Ross - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
10 NG Joshua Z. - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
11 BERNARD Jack B. - 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
12 PAYNE John T. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
13 PARK Judy 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
14 DILLE Carolina G. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
15 JARVIS Trent - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 8%
16 BARCLAY Khyri - 2% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
17 PULLEN Ayah - 1% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
17 DULISSE ALeX - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
17 LIM Joshua - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
20 CHRONISTER Charles - 8% 27% 37% 23% 5%
21 MOELTER Mark 1% 8% 29% 41% 21%
22 MODULLA Yathin 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
23 PAL Ian K. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% -
24 ARNOLD Benjamin - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
24 SARIKONDA Akhil - 1% 9% 27% 38% 22% 3%
26 WEBSTER Davis G. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
27 SOTTILE Cole 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
28 DAVIS Campbell - - 1% 13% 43% 42%
29 RACHEL Dylan - 11% 38% 39% 12%
30 NENE Ayush - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
31 MILLER Jonathan 1% 11% 35% 37% 14% 2% -
32 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
33 RUSCONI Jane - 1% 9% 27% 38% 21% 4%
34 MCBRIDE Caleb C. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
35 BOWMAN Tamara E. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
36 CHANG Shane - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
37 LEE Daehyeon 46% 40% 13% 2% - -
38 KETCHEL Ethan - 3% 14% 30% 34% 17% 2%
39 EVANGELISTI Gabriele - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
40 HAYES Zackery - 6% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
41 JOSEPH Matthew - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 9%
42 LAST Grayson - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
43 MATTOCKS III Charles L. 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5% -
44 GOSART Hailee 33% 43% 19% 4% - - -
44 PETERS Micah - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
44 ASBY Will - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
47 GEISSLER Maximilian 9% 38% 39% 13% 1%
48 WEBB Zain 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
49 ECKARD Melody 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
50 JOINER Brad - 5% 21% 39% 29% 7%
51 LAN Alex 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
52 LE Kevin - 3% 13% 29% 32% 18% 4%
52 TOPPIN Lindsay 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
54 VIVEROS Antonio 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
55 BOYD Scott 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3% -
56 NIEMAN Aubrey 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
57 SCHUEREN Emma M. 1% 12% 58% 25% 4% - -
58 COLLIER Baiden C. 1% 7% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
59 BROWN Mark 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
60 RODRIGUEZ Joshua - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
61 CONE James 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
62 PILLAI Adithya 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
63 REDDY Daksh 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
64 DEFEE Thomas 1% 15% 46% 31% 6%
65 MCGINNISS Andrew - 10% 54% 30% 5% -
66 OZBOZ Almira 48% 39% 11% 2% - -
67 SIKES Adam 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 3% -
68 HAYES Jeremiah - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
69 SCHEER Kate 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
70 MOSS Riley 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
71 WALKER Luke 4% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -
72 NIEMAN Anjolie 8% 31% 38% 18% 4% - -
72 HEFFNER Benjamin 1% 10% 31% 36% 17% 4% -
74 SHEFFIELD Lydia 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
75 HESW Elan 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
76 RACHEL Abby 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
77 DIASPARRA Joseph 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
78 WOLF Savana 2% 25% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
79 VINSON Rachel 32% 46% 19% 2% -
80 TOMBUELT Aiden 10% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
81 DAVIS Elise 15% 46% 30% 8% 1% - -
82 KOTHAMASU Saahiti 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
83 ALVARENGA Darby 29% 44% 23% 5% - - -
84 BYRON Heather 17% 56% 24% 3% - -
85 JARRETT Leela 2% 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
85 HOLT Tayla 19% 44% 28% 8% 1% - -
87 POSADAS Allison 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.