Tiger Open 2021

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 16, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Fike Recreation Center - Clemson, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LENAHAN Conor J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
2 BARTLETT Jonathan (Jon) L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 11%
3 TILAKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
5 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
6 KENT Dwain 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
7 SCHARF Ryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
8 GOMEZ Victor J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
9 MERRITT Frederick Ross 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 3%
10 NG Joshua Z. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
11 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
12 PAYNE John T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
13 PARK Judy 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 9% 1%
14 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
15 JARVIS Trent 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
16 BARCLAY Khyri 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 3%
17 PULLEN Ayah 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
17 DULISSE ALeX 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
17 LIM Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
20 CHRONISTER Charles 100% 100% 92% 65% 27% 5%
21 MOELTER Mark 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
22 MODULLA Yathin 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
23 PAL Ian K. 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 3% -
24 ARNOLD Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
24 SARIKONDA Akhil 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
26 WEBSTER Davis G. 100% 99% 92% 71% 39% 13% 2%
27 SOTTILE Cole 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
28 DAVIS Campbell 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
29 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 89% 51% 12%
30 NENE Ayush 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
31 MILLER Jonathan 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2% -
32 BERNSTEIN Matthew B. 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
33 RUSCONI Jane 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
34 MCBRIDE Caleb C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 2%
35 BOWMAN Tamara E. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
36 CHANG Shane 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
37 LEE Daehyeon 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
38 KETCHEL Ethan 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 2%
39 EVANGELISTI Gabriele 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 37% 8%
40 HAYES Zackery 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
41 JOSEPH Matthew 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 42% 9%
42 LAST Grayson 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
43 MATTOCKS III Charles L. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5% -
44 GOSART Hailee 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
44 PETERS Micah 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
44 ASBY Will 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
47 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 91% 53% 14% 1%
48 WEBB Zain 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
49 ECKARD Melody 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 9% 1%
50 JOINER Brad 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
51 LAN Alex 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
52 LE Kevin 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
52 TOPPIN Lindsay 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
54 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
55 BOYD Scott 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
56 NIEMAN Aubrey 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% 1%
57 SCHUEREN Emma M. 100% 99% 87% 29% 4% - -
58 COLLIER Baiden C. 100% 99% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
59 BROWN Mark 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
60 RODRIGUEZ Joshua 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
61 CONE James 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
62 PILLAI Adithya 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
63 REDDY Daksh 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
64 DEFEE Thomas 100% 99% 84% 37% 6%
65 MCGINNISS Andrew 100% 100% 89% 35% 5% -
66 OZBOZ Almira 100% 52% 13% 2% - -
67 SIKES Adam 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3% -
68 HAYES Jeremiah 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
69 SCHEER Kate 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
70 MOSS Riley 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
71 WALKER Luke 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
72 NIEMAN Anjolie 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% - -
72 HEFFNER Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 58% 21% 4% -
74 SHEFFIELD Lydia 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
75 HESW Elan 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
76 RACHEL Abby 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
77 DIASPARRA Joseph 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
78 WOLF Savana 100% 98% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
79 VINSON Rachel 100% 68% 22% 3% -
80 TOMBUELT Aiden 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
81 DAVIS Elise 100% 85% 39% 8% 1% - -
82 KOTHAMASU Saahiti 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
83 ALVARENGA Darby 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
84 BYRON Heather 100% 83% 27% 3% - -
85 JARRETT Leela 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 2% -
85 HOLT Tayla 100% 81% 37% 9% 1% - -
87 POSADAS Allison 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.