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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	VEZMAR Evan H.	-	2%	12%	31%	38%	17%
2	PRABHAKAR Vibhav	-	2%	12%	33%	38%	15%
3	DENNIS Ethan	-	4%	19%	37%	31%	9%
3	KOZAKIEWICZ Filip	-	1%	7%	28%	42%	22%
5	NESTEROV Andrew E.	-	1%	8%	28%	41%	22%
6	MCKEEVER Luca	-	-	2%	13%	41%	45%
7	O'DONNELL Benjamin	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	23%
8	KRZYSIAK David F.	2%	12%	30%	34%	18%	4%
9	NGUYEN Tate	-	2%	14%	36%	37%	10%
9	SATTERFIELD Donald	1%	6%	21%	36%	29%	8%
11	SILVERS Ari	-	1%	11%	32%	40%	16%
12	SONN Rohan	1%	10%	30%	37%	19%	4%
13	NIKOLOV Peter	-	1%	10%	35%	43%	11%
14	KULIKOWSKI Adam J.	-	-	-	7%	35%	58%
15	LOISEAU Eliott	1%	10%	31%	36%	18%	3%
16	LI Chenyu	2%	17%	36%	31%	12%	2%
17	BORUFF Vincent (Artemis)	3%	19%	39%	30%	9%	1%
18	LITWILLER Joseph	16%	41%	32%	10%	1%	-
19	DHAL Leon	12%	46%	32%	9%	1%	-
20	TIKHOMIROV Theodore	1%	11%	32%	36%	16%	3%
21	GOHSMAN Maxwell	14%	43%	34%	8%	1%	-
22	MORGAN Cooper	1%	11%	34%	36%	15%	2%
23	RICHARDSON Ray	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-
24	PRABHAKAR Agasthya	2%	16%	37%	33%	11%	1%
25	CORRALES Victor M.	1%	10%	32%	39%	16%	2%
26	DIVERIS Joseph	8%	27%	36%	22%	7%	1%
27	KARNAS Karol	1%	11%	32%	36%	18%	3%
28	YOON Brian	2%	13%	35%	35%	13%	1%
29	MILLER Lance W.	-	5%	24%	39%	25%	6%
30	MCDOWELL Will	7%	33%	39%	18%	3%	-
31	DATTA Purav	22%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
32	BRADFORD Ethan	12%	37%	34%	14%	2%	-
33	TASKIRAN Mete	39%	43%	16%	2%	-	-
34	SCHWEITZER Liam	50%	38%	10%	1%	-	-
35	MURPHY Aidan	6%	42%	39%	12%	1%	-
36	SAHA Sayan	66%	29%	5%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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