Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Vinton - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
2 SIDES Nathaniel S. - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
3 POWERS Meredith R. 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
3 GALEMORE Jonathan - 1% 10% 32% 40% 16%
5 O'DONNELL Breck - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
6 KLYCZEK Andrew 1% 31% 42% 21% 5% < 1%
7 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - 2% 20% 50% 29%
8 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 2% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
9 SEMP Iain - 1% 10% 36% 42% 11%
10 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
11 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1%
12 QIAN Zhiyan - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
13 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. - 1% 9% 34% 38% 15% 2%
14 SEMP Brannon A. - 1% 8% 30% 41% 18% 2%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 1% 15% 50% 29% 5% -
16 SNIVELY Mark C. - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
17 BAILEY Julia S. - 10% 40% 41% 9% -
18 STONE Madelyn L. 3% 20% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
19 SHANKS Aidan T. - 18% 44% 31% 6% -
20 MORRIS Luke 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
21 SHANKS Jennifer 39% 42% 16% 2% - -
22 FORREST John 7% 31% 43% 16% 2% -
23 DOLLINGS Taryn 63% 33% 4% - - -
24 BAILEY Linwood 45% 40% 13% 2% - - -
25 TREADWAY Ella 8% 40% 49% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.