Thanksgiving Throwdown

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHENG Vinton 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
2 SIDES Nathaniel S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 21% 2%
3 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
3 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
5 O'DONNELL Breck 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
6 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 99% 69% 26% 5% < 1%
7 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 29%
8 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
9 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 11%
10 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
11 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% 1%
12 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
13 EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 17% 2%
14 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 2%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 99% 84% 34% 6% -
16 SNIVELY Mark C. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
17 BAILEY Julia S. 100% 100% 90% 50% 10% -
18 STONE Madelyn L. 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
19 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 82% 37% 6% -
20 MORRIS Luke 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
21 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 61% 18% 3% - -
22 FORREST John 100% 93% 62% 19% 2% -
23 DOLLINGS Taryn 100% 37% 5% - - -
24 BAILEY Linwood 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
25 TREADWAY Ella 100% 92% 52% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.