Thanksgiving Throwdown

Unrated Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 21, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KAST Quinn J. 100% 100% 90% 46% 6%
2 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 3%
3 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 100% 88% 53% 16% 1%
3 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
5 LARSON Winston 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
6 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 93% 68% 25%
7 BAILEY Julia S. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
8 MOELLER Virginia 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
10 WATTS Jason 100% 100% 93% 66% 23% 2%
11 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 100% 98% 84% 42% 3%
12 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
13 UHRICH Reese 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
14 ALLEN Lily 100% 99% 87% 51% 12% 1%
15 CRUM Elayne 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3% -
16 KOKE Kristen 100% 93% 53% 13% 1%
17 BIELEWICZ Nicholas 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
18 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 94% 67% 29% 5% -
19 MORRIS Luke 100% 93% 61% 21% 2%
20 WATERMAN Andie 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
21 FOX Aiden 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3% -
22 TREADWAY Ella 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
23 KRONAUGE Andersen 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
23 DOLLINGS Taryn 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% -
25 WEINLAND Baxter 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
26 ECCLES Jade 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
28 FISCHMAN Margaret 100% 93% 38% 5% -
29 HARSHAW Wyatt 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
30 FORREST John 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% -
31 BAILEY Linwood 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.