October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 1:45 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
2 HARVEY Eleanor - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 KIEFER Lee O. - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 GUO Jessica Zi Jia - - - - 2% 23% 75%
5 DUBROVICH Jacqueline - - - - 2% 19% 80%
6 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
7 TIEU May L. - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
8 DEVORE Delphine P. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
9 RIVANO Camilla - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
10 LESLIE Ryanne T. - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
11 DESCHNER Stefani K. - - - 2% 13% 42% 44%
12 RYAN Kelleigh E. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
13 QIAN Crystal - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
14 SCRUGGS Lauren S. - - - 5% 31% 64%
15 TAN Helen - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
16 ANDREYENKA Yana - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% -
17 LEE Alina - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
18 FERRARI Christina M. - - 3% 14% 37% 37% 8%
19 CHENG Evelyn - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 12%
20 CAO Arianna L. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
21 LEE Brianna J. - 4% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
22 PETROVA Kristina - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
23 HE Elizabeth W. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 14%
24 LUNG Katerina - 3% 15% 35% 34% 12%
25 SHEN Sophia H. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
26 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
27 TAFFEL sara - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
28 STAMOS Maria - 1% 7% 22% 37% 27% 5%
29 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. - 2% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
30 KIM Rachael - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
31 ZHENG Vivian - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
32 LEE Allison (Allie) - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 4%
33 ANDREYENKA Hanna - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
34 JO Mia C. 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% 1%
35 BINDER Sylvie A. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
36 APELIAN Katherine - - 4% 21% 41% 28% 5%
37 WANDJI Anais 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
38 KORABLINA Aleksandra - - 2% 12% 40% 47%
39 YAROSHENKO Karina - 2% 14% 37% 37% 10%
40 TAN Kaitlyn N. 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
41 HOOSHI Erica S. - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
42 ZHENG Ivy - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
43 GRIFFIN Emma G. - 1% 8% 26% 39% 22% 3%
44 BREKER Anika - 1% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
45 HUNG Juliana K. - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7%
46 PAPPONE Arianna 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
47 TALAVERA Daena - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
48 LUONG Paige K. - - 5% 22% 40% 29% 3%
48 CASTANEDA Erika L. 3% 16% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
50 CHUSID Mikayla - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
51 JING Alexandra - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
52 LEE Yejine - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
53 FANG Sabrina - 4% 26% 43% 24% 3%
54 EYER Hailey M. 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% -
54 CANDESCU Diana - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
56 BIASCO Anna - 7% 33% 41% 17% 1%
56 CHO Sabrina N. - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
58 JING Emily - 6% 25% 42% 23% 3%
59 CHEN Jessie S. 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
60 HO Brianna W. 1% 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
61 PARK Rowan M. 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
62 CAO Ying - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 3%
63 KNIGHT Skylar 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
64 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 1%
65 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
66 OH Erin H. 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
67 RHODES Zander - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
68 PROESTAKIS Katina A. - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
69 LEE Paulina 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
70 ESTEBAN Maxine T. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 14% 1%
71 KONG Chin-Yi - 2% 13% 33% 37% 13% 1%
72 YU Seneca 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
73 KIM Katherine 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
74 LOCKE Savannah 2% 15% 35% 33% 13% 2% -
75 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 50% 38% 10% 1% < 1% - -
76 KOENIG Charlotte R. 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
76 SHEN Lydia 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
78 HE Fenghuan 2% 14% 35% 35% 13% 1%
79 CHO Gracie L. 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
80 SENIC Adeline - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
81 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2% -
82 CALAZANS Talia 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
83 DEBACK Greta I. 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
84 KOSTELNY Alexis 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
85 KOROL Neta 5% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2% -
86 WANG Ellen - 4% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
87 ZHANG Alina C. 1% 12% 34% 35% 15% 2% -
88 MILLER Naomi E. 1% 8% 28% 40% 20% 4% -
89 HU Victoria 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
90 CHO Rebecca H. 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
91 DE LA CRUZ Eden 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
92 CHUSID Renata M. - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
93 LI Phoebe J. 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 2%
94 KOO Rachel A. 1% 5% 21% 37% 28% 8%
95 GOMES Rafaella T. 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
96 BRADFORD Meeah 14% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
97 ZHAO Sophie L. 28% 44% 23% 5% - -
98 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 7% 28% 40% 21% 4% -
99 YU Lauren C. 23% 52% 21% 3% - -
100 ZHANG Yunjia 3% 19% 38% 29% 9% 1%
101 PEVZNER Victoria - 3% 17% 37% 32% 10% 1%
102 JIA Amy 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
103 SERBAN Samantha M. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
104 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
105 CHEN Jia P. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 2%
105 LIU Jaelyn A. 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4% -
107 SHAW Kayla M. 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
108 SHIH Diane 10% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
109 KLINE Melissa C. 1% 11% 32% 36% 16% 3% -
110 PENG Amber L. 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
111 ZHAO Aileen Y. 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
112 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
113 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 8% 32% 38% 18% 4% - -
113 TALWALKAR Apoorva 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
115 HORSLEY Asherah - 2% 20% 43% 30% 4%
116 BATRA Chaahat 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
117 LUU Shanon K. 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
118 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. - < 1% 5% 22% 43% 30%
119 SARTORI Taylor M. 32% 42% 20% 4% - -
120 JANG Kimberley 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
121 SUN Chien-Yu 47% 40% 12% 2% - -
122 NELSON Tanya 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
123 SUN Ruoxi 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
124 GU EMILY 52% 40% 7% - - -
125 HUANG NATALIE 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
126 DAVIA Daniella V. 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
127 PARK Jaimie Lina 39% 41% 17% 3% - - -
128 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% - -
128 CHO Cameron S. 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
130 KONG Olivia 6% 28% 39% 22% 5% - -
130 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
130 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
133 PAHLAVI Dahlia 4% 22% 37% 26% 9% 2% -
134 GUERRA Sofia E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
135 WALKER Mayah J. 11% 35% 35% 16% 3% - -
136 DING Abigail 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
137 KOKES Gabrielle 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
138 DRAGNE Alexis D. 44% 41% 14% 2% - - -
139 SEO IRENE Y. 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
139 LI Rachel Y. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
141 WEBB Ella 35% 42% 19% 4% - - -
142 UPTON Elizabeth 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
143 LUO ZIWEN 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1% -
144 SOOD Ishani S. 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
145 SEAL Julie T. 15% 40% 33% 11% 1% -
146 KOROL Dana 18% 41% 31% 9% 1% - -
146 MI Anning 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
148 CHOI Lenna K. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
149 WU Julianna Y. 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
150 LEE Ariana 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
151 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 12% 33% 35% 16% 4% - -
152 ORVANANOS Anice 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
153 WONG Sophia M. 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.