October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Saturday, October 30, 2021 at 1:45 PM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 HARVEY Eleanor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 GUO Jessica Zi Jia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
5 DUBROVICH Jacqueline 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
6 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
7 TIEU May L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
8 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 RIVANO Camilla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
10 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
11 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
12 RYAN Kelleigh E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
13 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
14 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
15 TAN Helen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
16 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9% -
17 LEE Alina 100% 100% 93% 69% 30% 5%
18 FERRARI Christina M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
19 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
20 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
21 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
22 PETROVA Kristina 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
23 HE Elizabeth W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
24 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
25 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
26 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
27 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
28 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 5%
29 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
30 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
31 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
32 LEE Allison (Allie) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
33 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
34 JO Mia C. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
35 BINDER Sylvie A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
36 APELIAN Katherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 5%
37 WANDJI Anais 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
38 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
39 YAROSHENKO Karina 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
40 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 93% 62% 24% 5% -
41 HOOSHI Erica S. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
42 ZHENG Ivy 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
43 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
44 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
45 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
46 PAPPONE Arianna 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
47 TALAVERA Daena 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 15% 1%
48 LUONG Paige K. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 3%
48 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
50 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
51 JING Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
52 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
53 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 3%
54 EYER Hailey M. 100% 95% 71% 33% 7% -
54 CANDESCU Diana 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
56 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 93% 59% 18% 1%
56 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
58 JING Emily 100% 100% 93% 68% 27% 3%
59 CHEN Jessie S. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
60 HO Brianna W. 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
61 PARK Rowan M. 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
62 CAO Ying 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
63 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
64 MCGILLION-MOORE Katie 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
65 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
66 OH Erin H. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
67 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
68 PROESTAKIS Katina A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 49% 11%
69 LEE Paulina 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
70 ESTEBAN Maxine T. 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15% 1%
71 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14% 1%
72 YU Seneca 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
73 KIM Katherine 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 3% -
74 LOCKE Savannah 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
75 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 50% 12% 1% < 1% - -
76 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
76 SHEN Lydia 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
78 HE Fenghuan 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
79 CHO Gracie L. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
80 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
81 SEAL Grace (Gracie) C. 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
82 CALAZANS Talia 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
83 DEBACK Greta I. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
84 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
85 KOROL Neta 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
86 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
87 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
88 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 4% -
89 HU Victoria 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
90 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
91 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
92 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
93 LI Phoebe J. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 2%
94 KOO Rachel A. 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
95 GOMES Rafaella T. 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
96 BRADFORD Meeah 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
97 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
98 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
99 YU Lauren C. 100% 77% 25% 3% - -
100 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1%
101 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 11% 1%
102 JIA Amy 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 8% 1%
103 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
104 FREEDMAN Miranda W. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 9% 1%
105 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
105 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
107 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
108 SHIH Diane 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
109 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
110 PENG Amber L. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
111 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% - -
112 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
113 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% - -
113 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
115 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 4%
116 BATRA Chaahat 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
117 LUU Shanon K. 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
118 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
119 SARTORI Taylor M. 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
120 JANG Kimberley 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
121 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
122 NELSON Tanya 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% -
123 SUN Ruoxi 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
124 GU EMILY 100% 48% 8% - - -
125 HUANG NATALIE 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
126 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
127 PARK Jaimie Lina 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
128 SANTOS Annika Beatrice I. 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
128 CHO Cameron S. 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
130 KONG Olivia 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
130 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
130 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
133 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
134 GUERRA Sofia E. 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
135 WALKER Mayah J. 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
136 DING Abigail 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
137 KOKES Gabrielle 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
138 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
139 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
139 LI Rachel Y. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
141 WEBB Ella 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
142 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
143 LUO ZIWEN 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 1% -
144 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
145 SEAL Julie T. 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% -
146 KOROL Dana 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
146 MI Anning 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
148 CHOI Lenna K. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
149 WU Julianna Y. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
150 LEE Ariana 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
151 SLOWINSKI Maia A. 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
152 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
153 WONG Sophia M. 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.