October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Sunday, October 31, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
2 JOHNSON Honor B. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
3 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - - 3% 25% 71%
3 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - 3% 14% 31% 35% 16%
6 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - 1% 12% 46% 41%
7 JENKINS Ryan J. - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
8 PONICH Marissa 18% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
9 VARHELYI Kata - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
10 LU Vivian Y. - - 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
11 ADYNSKI Gillian I. - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
12 SHOMAN Jenna - - 4% 18% 39% 34% 5%
13 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
14 WIGGERS Susan Q. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
15 TONG Kunling - - 5% 22% 45% 28%
16 GREENBAUM Ella K. 1% 6% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
17 POSSICK Lola P. - - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
18 LINDER Kara E. - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
19 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
20 BOTELLO Natalia - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
21 LEE Alexandra B. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
22 PAK Kaitlyn - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
23 KONG Vera - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 15%
24 KIM Zoe - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
25 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria - 6% 22% 37% 28% 7%
26 LI Amanda C. - 1% 9% 25% 37% 24% 3%
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
27 BEVACQUA Aria F. 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
29 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
30 POTZ-NAGY Fanni - 5% 23% 42% 27% 3%
31 HARRISON Imogen N. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
32 STONE Hava S. 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
33 JULIEN Michelle - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
34 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
35 BUHAY Rachel T. 1% 7% 28% 41% 20% 3%
36 MIKA Veronica - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
37 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - 3% 17% 42% 37%
38 MILLER Sky - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
39 LIN Audrey J. 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
40 TURNER Zoe Y. - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
40 FEARNS Zara A. 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
42 LI Victoria J. 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
43 ERIKSON Kira R. 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
44 KER Grace 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
45 TAO Hannah J. 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
46 BLUM Leah I. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
47 CHIOLDI Mina 3% 18% 34% 31% 12% 2%
48 DUCKETT Madison 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
49 ANGLADE Alexis C. - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
50 SATHYANATH Kailing 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
51 BOIS Adele - 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
52 WHANG Rebecca - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
53 HILD Nisha 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
53 LU Yi Lin 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
55 TUCKER Iman R. 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
56 SHEALY Maggie - - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
57 KRASTEV Minna 4% 19% 34% 28% 12% 3% -
58 GHOSH Priyanka - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9% 1%
59 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
60 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - 1% 5% 17% 34% 32% 12%
61 WU Zoe 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1% -
62 VENTURA Eva 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
63 MARSEE Samantha 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
64 OISHI Megumi - 1% 9% 28% 40% 22%
65 FREEDMAN Janna N. - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
66 OLSEN Natalie J. 3% 21% 41% 28% 7% -
67 HE Charlotte 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% -
68 KALRA Himani V. - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7% -
68 CARVALHO Isabela A. 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 10% 1%
70 GORMAN Victoria M. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
71 WEI Vivian W. 5% 26% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
72 JUNG Irene 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
73 TZOU Alexandra - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
74 PAUL Lila 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
75 SHEA Erin - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
76 PRIEUR Lauren 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 3% -
77 VESTEL Mira B. 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
78 SZETO Chloe 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
79 LI Anna M. - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
80 CHEN Jane 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
81 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 7%
82 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
83 GOUHIN Chloe - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
84 ATLURI Sara V. 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
85 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
86 KOVACS Sophia - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
87 DUNGEY Amelia S. - 1% 4% 18% 36% 33% 8%
87 BALAKUMARAN Maya 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
87 DANK Dina 13% 33% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
90 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
91 GHAYALOD reya 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
91 HURST Kennedy 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
93 YODER Bridget H. 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
94 MOZHAEVA MARIA 1% 7% 25% 37% 23% 6% 1%
95 VADASZ Ibla P. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
96 LARIMER Katherine E. 19% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
97 CHIANG Emily 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
98 SAYLES Nina R. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
98 CHANG Emily 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
100 FANG Victoria W. 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
101 CALLAHAN Chase J. 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
102 ANDRES Katherine A. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
103 LIU Sophie 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1% -
104 LEE Hannah 35% 42% 19% 4% - -
105 ENDO Miyuki N. 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
106 THURGOOD Madison C. 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
107 BILILIES Sophia 21% 49% 25% 5% - -
108 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. - 6% 23% 38% 27% 7%
109 ALCEBAR Kayla 4% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1% -
110 YANG Ashley M. 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
111 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 4% -
112 HOLMES Emma 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
113 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
114 LU Amy 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
115 BAKER Audrey C. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
116 BENOIT Adelaide L. 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
116 CODY Alexandra C. 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
118 DRAGON Rainer 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
119 LUKASHENKO Angelina 4% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
119 NEIBART Fiona 28% 43% 23% 5% 1% - -
121 CHEN Xinyan 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
122 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
123 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
124 ARNECKE Lauren A. 13% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
125 XI Shining 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
126 KANTIPUDI Shrika 24% 51% 21% 3% - -
127 SINHA Anika 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
128 GLUCK Myriam 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.