October NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Sunday, October 31, 2021 at 8:00 AM

America's Center Convention Complex - St. Louis, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 JOHNSON Honor B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68%
3 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 8%
5 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
6 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 41%
7 JENKINS Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
8 PONICH Marissa 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
9 VARHELYI Kata 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
10 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
11 ADYNSKI Gillian I. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
12 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 5%
13 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
14 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
15 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
16 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
17 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 8%
18 LINDER Kara E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
19 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
20 BOTELLO Natalia 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
21 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
22 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
23 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 15%
24 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
25 KUDRIAVTSEVA Daria 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 7%
26 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 3%
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 8% 1%
27 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
29 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
30 POTZ-NAGY Fanni 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
31 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
32 STONE Hava S. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
33 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 3%
34 KAKHIANI-MECKLING Teodora 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
35 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 92% 64% 23% 3%
36 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
37 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
38 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
39 LIN Audrey J. 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
40 TURNER Zoe Y. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 4%
40 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5% -
42 LI Victoria J. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
43 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
44 KER Grace 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3% -
45 TAO Hannah J. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
46 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
47 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
48 DUCKETT Madison 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
49 ANGLADE Alexis C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
50 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
51 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
52 WHANG Rebecca 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
53 HILD Nisha 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
53 LU Yi Lin 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
55 TUCKER Iman R. 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
56 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 12%
57 KRASTEV Minna 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
58 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10% 1%
59 SINGLETON-COMFORT Leanne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
60 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 12%
61 WU Zoe 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
62 VENTURA Eva 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
63 MARSEE Samantha 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
64 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
65 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
66 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 97% 76% 35% 7% -
67 HE Charlotte 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
68 KALRA Himani V. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 7% -
68 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 1%
70 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
71 WEI Vivian W. 100% 95% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
72 JUNG Irene 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
73 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 7%
74 PAUL Lila 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
75 SHEA Erin 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
76 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 3% -
77 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
78 SZETO Chloe 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
79 LI Anna M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
80 CHEN Jane 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
81 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
82 HULSEBURG Kaitlyn 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
83 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
84 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
85 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
86 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
87 DUNGEY Amelia S. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 8%
87 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
87 DANK Dina 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
90 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
91 GHAYALOD reya 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
91 HURST Kennedy 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
93 YODER Bridget H. 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
94 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
95 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
96 LARIMER Katherine E. 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% - -
97 CHIANG Emily 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
98 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
98 CHANG Emily 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
100 FANG Victoria W. 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
101 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
102 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 99% 93% 70% 37% 11% 1%
103 LIU Sophie 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
104 LEE Hannah 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
105 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
106 THURGOOD Madison C. 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
107 BILILIES Sophia 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
108 HOFFMAN Ilsa L. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
109 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
110 YANG Ashley M. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
111 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
112 HOLMES Emma 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
113 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
114 LU Amy 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
115 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
116 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
116 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 98% 86% 57% 25% 6% 1%
118 DRAGON Rainer 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
119 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 2% -
119 NEIBART Fiona 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
121 CHEN Xinyan 100% 86% 48% 15% 3% - -
122 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
123 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
124 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 87% 50% 16% 3% - -
125 XI Shining 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
126 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 76% 25% 3% - -
127 SINHA Anika 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
128 GLUCK Myriam 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.