AIC New Years Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, December 31, 2021 at 3:00 PM

AIC FENCING - Sterling, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUANG Dongrong 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
2 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
3 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
3 LIU Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
5 HO Jia Le Sean 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 8%
6 PAN Henry 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
7 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
8 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
9 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% -
10 WANG Michael 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
10 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
12 WANG Winston 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
13 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
14 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16% 1%
15 SHENG Chuxi 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
16 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
17 LI Matthew 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% -
18 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2% -
19 BERNABE Rafael 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6% -
20 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
21 FADL Omar 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
22 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 95% 75% 43% 16% 3% -
23 HUANG Eythan 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
24 JIANG Bowang 100% 91% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
25 SOLDATOVA Maria 100% 99% 85% 49% 16% 2% -
26 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
27 TOMASI John 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% - -
28 HERRIES Elsa 100% 85% 49% 18% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.