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RFC Tune-Up Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALEMORE Jonathan - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 32%
2 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 9% 34% 38% 16% 2%
3 DYER John G. - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
3 CLICK Aiden 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2% -
5 MCKEVITT Conner M. - 1% 7% 30% 46% 16%
6 PRICE Owen 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% < 1%
7 TURPIE Michael (Mike) J. - 3% 16% 35% 34% 12%
8 MARSH Joseph J. - - 5% 33% 45% 17%
9 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 7% 27% 39% 23% 5%
10 MELENDEZ Victor J. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
11 NORTH Zoe M. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% -
12 WALTERS Elaine G. 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
13 KOKE Matthew C. 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
14 KAST Quinn J. 2% 14% 36% 37% 11% 1%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
16 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
17 BAILEY Julia S. 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
18 POWELL Malcolm 2% 16% 38% 34% 10%
19 MACKINNON Joshua 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
20 KOKE Kristen 1% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
21 BIELEWICZ Nicholas 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
22 SHANKS Jennifer 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
23 MACKINNON Nathaniel 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
24 LIMM Christopher 21% 42% 29% 7% 1% -
24 TAYLOR Harrison 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
26 WITTKOWER Dylan 2% 19% 44% 28% 6% -
27 FERGUSON Sam C. 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
28 LARSON Winston 6% 28% 42% 22% 2%
29 SHANKS Aidan T. 1% 6% 22% 34% 27% 10% 1%
30 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 2% 17% 38% 33% 11% 1%
31 DONG Bowen 7% 29% 39% 21% 4% -
32 GESICK Gabrielle 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
33 MOELLER Virginia 7% 28% 40% 21% 4%
34 WILSON Reagan Ophelia 3% 20% 39% 30% 8%
36 STRASSLER James 11% 32% 36% 18% 3%
37 BURNSIDE Caden 1% 10% 31% 39% 18% 1%
38 TREADWAY Ella 6% 24% 34% 25% 9% 2% -
39 FISCHMAN Margaret 8% 27% 35% 23% 7% 1%
40 DOLLINGS Taryn 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
42 ESMALLA Breanna 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1% -
43 BAILEY Linwood 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.