RFC Tune-Up Open

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, June 27, 2021 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GALEMORE Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
2 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 91% 57% 18% 2%
3 DYER John G. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
3 CLICK Aiden 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2% -
5 MCKEVITT Conner M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 16%
6 PRICE Owen 100% 94% 69% 31% 6% < 1%
7 TURPIE Michael (Mike) J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
8 MARSH Joseph J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 17%
9 SLACK Mary-Stuart F. 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
10 MELENDEZ Victor J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
11 NORTH Zoe M. 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
12 WALTERS Elaine G. 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
13 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
14 KAST Quinn J. 100% 98% 85% 48% 12% 1%
15 ISAACSON Bjorn 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
16 SMITH IV Edward (Ted) A. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
17 BAILEY Julia S. 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
18 POWELL Malcolm 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
19 MACKINNON Joshua 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
20 KOKE Kristen 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
21 BIELEWICZ Nicholas 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
22 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
23 MACKINNON Nathaniel 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
24 LIMM Christopher 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% -
24 TAYLOR Harrison 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
26 WITTKOWER Dylan 100% 98% 79% 35% 7% -
27 FERGUSON Sam C. 100% 93% 65% 28% 5%
28 LARSON Winston 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
29 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
30 TETTERTON Jr Joseph S. 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
31 DONG Bowen 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
32 GESICK Gabrielle 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
33 MOELLER Virginia 100% 93% 65% 25% 4%
34 WILSON Reagan Ophelia 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
36 STRASSLER James 100% 89% 57% 21% 3%
37 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
38 TREADWAY Ella 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
39 FISCHMAN Margaret 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1%
40 DOLLINGS Taryn 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
42 ESMALLA Breanna 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
43 BAILEY Linwood 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.