Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 8:15 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Derek 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
2 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
3 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 17%
3 GULCHIN Mark 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
5 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
6 GHEDINI Luca 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 5%
7 LI Bradley 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 24%
8 TANG Terry 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
9 WONG Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
10 SIMONOV Timofey 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
11 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
12 TANG Royce 100% 89% 53% 17% 2% -
13 FOGELSON Hugh 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
14 KIAYIAS Aris 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
15 GERRISH William 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
16 LIU ERIC 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
17 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
18 TOOMRE Luca 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
19 CHEN Ethan 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
20 ZENG Rick 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
21 WANG Rory 100% 85% 45% 13% 1% -
22 HUANG Jinyao 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
22 SHANNON Jack 100% 83% 38% 8% 1% -
24 LEE Charles T 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 7%
25 RUIZ ALMEIDA Muhammad 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
26 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
27 KELKAR Aakash 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
28 GOLDYUK Steven 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
29 TOOMRE Kai 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
30 CHO Xzander 100% 52% 11% 1% - -
31 XU Nathan 100% 99% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
32 XIE Jicheng 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% -
33 CHENG Logan 100% 97% 76% 36% 8% 1%
34 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 98% 71% 28% 5% -
35 CHEN Hanson 100% 82% 35% 7% 1% -
36 PAULUS Gregory 100% 39% 7% - - -
36 QIAN Zekai 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.