Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 11:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
2 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
3 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
3 SAHAY Kenji 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
5 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
5 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
7 IDRISSI Idris 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 3%
8 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
9 GONG Jerry 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 6% -
10 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
11 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
12 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 29% 6%
13 WANG daniel 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
14 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
15 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
16 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
17 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
18 HUANG Maxwell H. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
19 LEE Ashe 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% 1%
20 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
21 TURCK Caspar J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
22 MARGULIS Jared 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
23 LIGH Checed 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
24 DAI Gary 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
25 BRANDT Jaden 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
25 MUNGOVAN Matthew 100% 74% 34% 10% 2% - -
27 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
28 PRIEUR Christian F. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
29 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 11% 1%
30 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
31 OH Aster 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
32 CARROLL Charles 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
33 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
34 LEUNG Ian 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
35 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
36 MARGULIAN Grant 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
37 TIAGI George 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
38 HE Bowen 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
39 HOUSER Evan 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
40 LIN Maxim 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
41 MENDOZA Diwa 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1%
42 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
43 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
44 TSAO Oliver 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
45 LIM Brandon 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
46 SINGER Marcus 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
47 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
48 WONG Caleb W. 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
49 NAYAK Surin K. 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1%
50 KATZ Ryan 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
51 KESSLER Nathan 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
52 KONG Alan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
52 ALMEDA Stanislav 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
54 PETRE Tudor 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
55 SCHARR-WEINER Nathan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
56 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
57 LIN Justin 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
57 LAUB William 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
59 ABDEL-DAYEM Ibrahim 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
60 HOLTSCHLAG Milo 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% -
61 LEE Andrew 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.