The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 11:30 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - - 4% 27% 68%
2 BAE Jason I. - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
3 SUGIURA Samuel - 2% 9% 24% 34% 25% 7%
3 SAHAY Kenji - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
5 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
5 KWALWASSER Eric - 1% 8% 25% 39% 23% 4%
7 IDRISSI Idris - 1% 7% 25% 40% 24% 3%
8 ANAND Sahil Z. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
9 GONG Jerry 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 6% -
10 LIU Kevin - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
11 SHIPITSIN Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11%
12 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
13 WANG daniel 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
14 KIM Ethan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
15 NGUYEN Anthony - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
16 NARDINI Nathanael P. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
17 LI Yao (Liam) - 5% 18% 33% 29% 12% 2%
18 HUANG Maxwell H. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
19 LEE Ashe 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% 1%
20 BONETTI Brayden - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
21 TURCK Caspar J. - - 1% 9% 37% 52%
22 MARGULIS Jared 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
23 LIGH Checed 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
24 DAI Gary 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
25 BRANDT Jaden 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
25 MUNGOVAN Matthew 26% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -
27 EYBELMAN Ariel - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
28 PRIEUR Christian F. 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
29 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
30 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
31 OH Aster - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 CARROLL Charles 4% 19% 33% 28% 12% 3% -
33 URSU Marcel T. - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
34 LEUNG Ian 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
35 LIN Philip T. - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
36 MARGULIAN Grant 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
37 TIAGI George 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
38 HE Bowen 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
39 HOUSER Evan 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
40 LIN Maxim 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% -
41 MENDOZA Diwa 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
42 DUMOULIN Gabriel - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
43 BOULAIS Andrew D. - 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
44 TSAO Oliver 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
45 LIM Brandon 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
46 SINGER Marcus 12% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
47 MONTALVO Matthew 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
48 WONG Caleb W. 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 2% -
49 NAYAK Surin K. 4% 23% 39% 27% 7% 1%
50 KATZ Ryan 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
51 KESSLER Nathan 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 12% 2%
52 KONG Alan - < 1% 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
52 ALMEDA Stanislav 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
54 PETRE Tudor 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
55 SCHARR-WEINER Nathan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
56 WITCZAK Mateus 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
57 LIN Justin 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
57 LAUB William 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
59 ABDEL-DAYEM Ibrahim 29% 45% 21% 4% - - -
60 HOLTSCHLAG Milo 11% 38% 37% 12% 1% -
61 LEE Andrew 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.