Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-14 Men's Épée

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 2:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
2 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 17%
3 CHOI Aleksey 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
3 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
5 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
6 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
7 GONG Haixiang 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
8 NATSVLISHVILI John Vano 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 8% 1%
9 HU Robert J. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 2% -
10 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 2%
11 PETROV Niki A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
12 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
13 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 99% 90% 68% 34% 8%
14 MASSE Jack 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
15 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
16 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
17 SONG Troy 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
18 ZENG Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
19 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
20 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 96% 72% 33% 7% 1%
21 CHOI Christian 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
22 LIU Jeremiah 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
23 MCWILLIAMS Miles 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
24 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
25 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 3%
26 GINSBURG Robbie 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
27 WANG justin 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
28 LI Ray 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
29 LAI Boden 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
30 JIA Jing Yu 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
31 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
32 WILLIAMS Luke 100% 96% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
33 MECHREFE Anthony 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
34 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.