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Y-12 Women's Foil

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	AMR HOSSNY Sara	-	-	-	1%	16%	84%
2	CALISE Ella	-	-	2%	13%	42%	44%
3	YANG Iris	-	-	-	3%	26%	70%
3	YURKOVA Mariia	-	1%	12%	37%	39%	12%
5	CHEN Renee	-	-	4%	19%	42%	35%
5	SHIM Grace	-	-	6%	29%	50%	14%
7	CASCONE Emily	-	-	-	5%	34%	60%
8	PEVZNER Nicole	-	5%	29%	41%	21%	4%
9	MAJID Inaaya	-	4%	36%	43%	16%	1%
10	MCSHERRY Ava	-	1%	11%	33%	41%	14%
11	JOO Natalie	-	5%	24%	39%	26%	5%
12	WANG Sabrina	2%	14%	35%	35%	13%	1%
13	SIROTA Francis	-	3%	24%	44%	25%	4%
14	DAI Zizhuo (Zizi)	-	7%	29%	45%	17%	2%
15	SHEN Emilia	-	3%	19%	39%	31%	7%
16	WANG Amabel	4%	34%	44%	18%	1%	-
17	FIELD Elizabeth	-	-	5%	29%	59%	8%
18	WANG Jolie Z.	-	2%	22%	46%	27%	3%
19	FENG Grace	5%	29%	40%	21%	5%	-
20	HAO Danica	2%	21%	45%	28%	4%	-
21	LIU Caydence	-	-	3%	18%	44%	35%
22	SHENG Katherine	-	1%	16%	44%	35%	4%
23	YU Jane	11%	37%	38%	13%	1%	-
24	LI Han	9%	34%	38%	17%	3%	-
25	TANG Melody Fujiao	1%	16%	42%	35%	6%	-
26	ZELDIN Nadia	4%	22%	40%	27%	7%	-
27	LI Beryl	43%	42%	13%	1%	-	-
28	JIN Amie	86%	13%	1%	-	-	-
29	CHANG Victoria	70%	26%	3%	-	-	-
30	CAVANAGH Emma	31%	56%	12%	1%	-	-
31	PAULUS Sloane	1%	15%	38%	33%	12%	1%
32	LENZ Phoebe	57%	40%	2%	-	-	-
33	JIN Sophie	75%	23%	2%	-	-	-
34	REZA Fukaina	37%	42%	17%	3%	-	-
34	NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan	3%	66%	27%	4%	-	-
36	VOROS Madeleine	7%	36%	42%	14%	2%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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