Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 2:30 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 AMR HOSSNY Sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 70%
3 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
5 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 SHIM Grace 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 14%
7 CASCONE Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
8 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 100% 95% 66% 25% 4%
9 MAJID Inaaya 100% 100% 96% 60% 17% 1%
10 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
11 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
12 WANG Sabrina 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 1%
13 SIROTA Francis 100% 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
14 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 93% 64% 19% 2%
15 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 7%
16 WANG Amabel 100% 96% 63% 19% 1% -
17 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 8%
18 WANG Jolie Z. 100% 100% 98% 76% 30% 3%
19 FENG Grace 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -
20 HAO Danica 100% 98% 77% 32% 4% -
21 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
22 SHENG Katherine 100% 100% 99% 83% 39% 4%
23 YU Jane 100% 89% 52% 14% 1% -
24 LI Han 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
25 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 99% 83% 40% 6% -
26 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
27 LI Beryl 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
28 JIN Amie 100% 14% 1% - - -
29 CHANG Victoria 100% 30% 3% - - -
30 CAVANAGH Emma 100% 69% 12% 1% - -
31 PAULUS Sloane 100% 99% 84% 46% 13% 1%
32 LENZ Phoebe 100% 43% 2% - - -
33 JIN Sophie 100% 25% 2% - - -
34 REZA Fukaina 100% 63% 21% 3% - -
34 NEWMAN-GILLIGAN Callahan 100% 97% 31% 4% - -
36 VOROS Madeleine 100% 93% 57% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.