Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 4:00 PM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
2 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
3 KUSHKOV Veniamin 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
3 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
5 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
5 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
7 OH Triton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
8 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
9 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
10 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 25%
11 KILGALLEN William 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
11 TASIKAS Stylianos 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
13 WU Wilmund 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
14 WEBER Mattias A. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
15 WANG Robert 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
16 LIU Mingyang Ryan 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
17 LEONARD Charles 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
18 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
19 DOLAN Charles R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
20 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
21 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
22 STERN Tobias 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
23 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
24 HUANG Connor 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
25 MORALES Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
26 HONG Robert 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
27 ENGEL Peter 100% 97% 80% 48% 19% 4% -
28 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14% 1%
29 SMINK Oliver 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
30 DEKA Tanush 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
31 KESSLER Josh 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
32 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
33 MOULTON Ian 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
34 SHI Erick 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
35 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
36 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
37 MCCARTHY Devan 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
38 MARGULIAN Grant 100% 98% 73% 33% 8% 1% -
39 PERRON Robert 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
40 MENDOZA Luca 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
41 DAI Gary 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
42 KAPOOR Tanmay 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
43 BOULAIS Andrew D. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
44 SHINCHUK Daniel 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
45 TAUER Sam 100% 74% 30% 6% - - -
46 ANAND Sahil Z. 100% 100% 93% 65% 25% 5% -
47 VARUKATTY-GAFOOR Sohil 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 3%
48 GONG Jerry 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
49 WRIGHT Zachary 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
50 DUMOULIN Gabriel 100% 96% 69% 27% 5% - -
51 FLITSANOV Macabee 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
52 HUANG Tom 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
53 TIAGI Daniel 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
54 KESSLER Nathan 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2% -
54 SHIPITSIN Yaroslav 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
56 KUMAR Shivai 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
57 WONG Caleb W. 100% 96% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
58 HOFFMAN Pasquale 100% 60% 19% 4% - - -
59 LIGH Checed 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
59 STOLPER Max 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
61 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
62 LAUB William 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
63 FARMER Rohan 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.